It’s the No. 6 in the nation Villanova Wildcats vs. No. 7 Oklahoma Sooners at NRG Stadium Houston, Texas. Tipoff for this Final 4 match is scheduled for 6:09 PM ET on 4/2/2016. This game opened with Villanova a minus one favorite on the point spread line and has since moved to -2 at most betting shops. The total line opened at 150 but has been steadily bought down to as low as 144.5 at a good number of outs.
Villanova comes into this game off a nice 64-59 win over Kansas as a small two-point underdog. The win was their fourth consecutive straight up and against the line improving their seasonal ATS record to 19-17-1. The total points scored of 123 made a mockery of the sportsbook’s total line of 145 for only third UNDER in the last 13 games for Nova.
Oklahoma got their 29th win of season surprising many bettors with an easy 80-68 win over Oregon in the Elite 8. The Sooners went off as a one point underdog in that contest with late smart money coming in on this Big 12 club. The win was the fourth straight for the Sooners and second in a row versus the betting line after a nasty streak of seven straight point spread losses The total line of 153 was threatened, but in the end the UNDER got the money for the tenth time in the last twelve games for the Sooners.
These two teams met earlier this season at a neutral site and in that match Oklahoma crushed Villanova 78-55, covering the spread by 28 points as a 5-point underdog. The combined points put on the board of 133 fell well short of the 145 point O/U line.
Villanova ranks 65th in the nation averaging 77.5 PPG and tied for 17th giving up an average of 63 PPG. In their win over Kansas in their last NCAA Tournament game the Wildcats shot 40.4% from the floor, and the Jayhawks shot 46% from the floor, but Kansas committed 16 turnovers while Villanova had nine.
Oklahoma ranks 21st in the nation in scoring (80.5 PPG) and tied for 44th in opponents’ points allowed (70 PPG). The Sooners have won three of their four Big Dance games by double figures including their last two. In their win over Oregon in their last NCAA Tournament game Oklahoma outscored the Ducks by 18 points in the first half and for the game they shot 46.6% from the floor and they held Oregon to a FG% of 38.9%.
Villanova: 93.12
Oklahoma: 91.14
- OU is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games.
- OU is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
- OU has an Under record of 12-2 in their last 14 games.
- NOVA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games.
- NOVA is 6-3 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.
- NOVA has an Over record of 10-3 in their last 13 games.
On the season Villanova has an O/U record of 19-17-1 and Oklahoma has an O/U record of 15-19.
This season in games held at a neutral site Villanova is 8-2 and Oklahoma is 8-1.