The Texas-El Paso Miners (1-3) will host the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners (1-3) for a Lone Star State rivalry and Conference USA clash on Saturday, October 5th, 2019 in El Paso, Texas. Kick-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET and will be broadcasted on ESPN+. Texas-San Antonio is presently riding a two-game winning streak against their cross-state adversaries. Most recently, UTSA defeated UTEP 30-21 when they last met in 2018 in San Antonio. UTEP was able to cash in as a 10-point dog at kick-off.
Last week, we ran into early trouble when our Old Dominion -3 and Charlotte +1 plays failed to cash in when the Monarchs fell 24-21 against ECU, and the 49ers were clipped at home 45-27 by visiting Florida Atlantic. We were able to put together a nice win on our Miami Ohio -2 came through on a 34-20 win in Oxford. Had takers waited until Saturday to place their bets, the Redhawks would have been a stellar Money Line play cashing at +115 on many sportsbooks.
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners at Texas-El Paso Miners Key Injury Concerns
Heading into this contest, Roadrunners Quarterback Frank Harris is listed as questionable for Saturday as he battles an ankle injury. Harris is UTSA’s most dangerous offensive weapon. Should he be unavailable, that will only further gum up an offensive that already lacks explosiveness.
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners at Texas-El Paso Miners Overview
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners
Texas-San Antonio comes into this match on the heels of a three-game winning streak after opening its season with an optimistic 35-7 thrashing of Incarnate Word. Most recently, the Roadrunners fell at the hands of the North Texas Mean Green when they were thumped in Denton, two weeks ago. The Roadrunners were nowhere near close to covering as they were abolished 45-3 by UNT as a -17 underdog. UTSA has now not covered in three straight outings.
Texas-El Paso Miners
Like their counterparts heading into this affair, UTEP is also riding a three-game losing streak after its season opener against Houston Baptist where it found its only win this season. Though the Miners may have lost to Southern Miss when they met last Saturday, UTEP broke a six-game losing streak against the spread. Closing as a 25.5-point underdog, the Miners fell 31-13 in Hattiesburg to the Golden Eagles of Southern Mississippi.
Reasons To Avoid Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners
In this series, the road team is 6-0 ATS which says that the road team is ever more prone to be overvalued in this contest by the virtue of market correction. However, the road team has been so successful because they have been historically undervalued. Up until this point anyway, due to the fact that teams like UTSA or UTEP are not expected to win away from home, or if they do win, they do not do so convincingly. After all, these teams are both typically underdogs in most match-ups they play as they both hover around the 120s of the CBS Sportsline 130 poll. Very simply, you don’t want to be laying a number here with either side as neither team has the pedigree to be favored and thus UTSA may easily crumble under the distinction.
Reasons To Back Texas-El Paso Miners
The Miners are 0-5 ATS in their previous five home games which further speaks into the trends and narratives discussed above. With this being established, Texas-El Paso is more bound to take back a favorable number as a result of their inability to profit on their own turf. With this consideration made, the market is still reluctant to give the Miners more than a field goal which resonates strongly with me. Had UTEP covered in any of their past five home stints, they would probably be favored here which means there is value present on the Miners.
- Get more details: UTSA at UTEP NCAAF Match-up Stats