Tyrese Maxey

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick & Prediction

By Rich Crew
Date: 03/03/2025 7:00 pm
Location: Wells Fargo Cente
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Philadelphia -3
Moneyline: Philadelphia -145 | Portland +125
Total: 229

Recent Form & Betting Trends

Portland Trail Blazers

The Blazers have been one of the better teams ATS this season, covering in 35 of 61 games. Over their last five, they’re 4-1 SU and ATS, with their only loss coming in a tight battle with Cleveland. Even in that game, Portland covered as a 10.5-point underdog, showing their ability to stay competitive.

  • Last 5 Games: 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS
  • On the Road: 17-14 ATS
  • Over/Under: 31-29-1 (Over in 5 of last 6)

Philadelphia 76ers

The Sixers have been a money-burner, covering in just 22 of 59 games. Their home struggles are glaring, sitting at 10-21 ATS in Philly. However, they shocked Golden State in their last game, winning outright as a 6.5-point underdog. The problem? Before that, they had lost four straight, including an embarrassing 32-point home loss to Chicago.

  • Last 5 Games: 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS
  • At Home: 10-21 ATS
  • Over/Under: 32-25-2 (Over in 11 of last 15 at home)

Key Matchups & Analysis

1. Portland’s Backcourt vs. Philly’s Defense

With Deandre Ayton (calf) and Jerami Grant (calf) sidelined, Portland has leaned on their guards. Anfernee Simons is averaging 26.4 PPG over his last five, while Deni Avdija has stepped up, including a triple-double against Washington. The Blazers’ guards should find success against a Sixers defense that ranks 30th in opponent FG%, allowing teams to shoot 48.7% this season.

2. Can Philly Build on Its Golden State Win?

Tyrese Maxey struggled in his last outing (2-for-14 FG), but Quentin Grimes erupted for 44 points, showing unexpected scoring upside. The issue is consistency. Before that, Philly was averaging 105.2 PPG in their last five losses. If Maxey doesn’t bounce back, it’s tough to trust this offense.

3. Pace & Defensive Issues = Another High-Scoring Game?

Both teams have been trending toward the Over, with Portland hitting it in 5 of their last 6 and Philly in 11 of their last 15 home games. The Blazers allow 114.4 PPG (25th), and the Sixers aren’t much better at 113.5 PPG (23rd). Expect a fast-paced game with plenty of scoring opportunities.

Betting Pick & Prediction

Both teams struggle defensively, and recent trends favor a high-scoring game. Portland’s backcourt should exploit Philly’s weak perimeter defense, while the Sixers have enough offensive weapons to contribute. Even if Maxey has another off night, their tempo and reliance on outside shooting should push this game Over the total.

Lean: Portland +3

The Sixers are a terrible ATS team at home, and Portland has been profitable on the road. The Blazers have covered in 4 of their last 5 and nearly pulled off an upset in Cleveland. With Philly’s inconsistency, grabbing the points with the hotter team makes sense.

Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia 121, Portland 119

Free Pick: Take the Over 229
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