The 41-37 Milwaukee Brewers travel to take on the 31-44 Cincinnati Reds in the first game of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio tonight. The first pitch of the opener is scheduled to be tossed at 7:10 PM ET.
The betting odds for the opening game of the series list the host Reds as a -125 to -130 moneyline favorite over the Brewers. The over/under line is in the 9.5 to 10 range at the sportsbooks we track.
In their last match, the Brewers beat the Atlanta Braves 7-0. In the game the Brewers scored seven runs on 11 hits and the Braves were held scoreless on five hits.
In their last game the Reds lost to the St. Louis Cardinals 8-2. In that contest, the Reds scored two runs on nine hits and the Cardinals scored eight runs on 13 hits.
This season the Brewers rank 10th in the Majors in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.
The Reds rank 12th in the Majors in runs scored and 30th in team ERA.
Pitching Match Up
Milwaukee: Junior Guerra (1-1, 3.11 ERA)
Cincinnati: Tim Adleman (4-4, 4.30 ERA)
Junior Guerra gets the start for the Brewers in the first game of this series and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs in six innings in a 6-3 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers have won his last two starts while he has given up seven earned runs in 12 innings and they lost his previous two starts where he only gave up four earned runs in 11 innings. In two career starts against the Reds Guerra is 1-0 with an ERA of 3.00. he has had control issues on the season walking five in his last start and in his last six starts he has walked at least three batters. Milwaukee has won four of Guerra’s last five road starts and this will be his first start of the season against Cincinnati.
Tim Adleman gets the nod for the Reds tonight and in his last start he went five innings and gave up three earned runs in an 8-3 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Reds have lost his last three starts where he has totaled 16 innings and has given up seven earned runs. Adleman faced the Brewers in his first appearance of the season out of the bullpen going four innings and only giving up one run on two hits, but he still took the loss in a 4-2 Cincinnati loss. Adleman has issued four walks in each of his last two starts. In three career appearances, including two starts, against the Reds Adleman is 1-1 with an ERA of 3.86. While the Reds are only 1-4 in Adleman’s last five starts overall they have won four of their last five home games with him on the hill.
Betting Angles
The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Reds.
The Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the Reds in Cincinnati.
In the last 6 games between these teams the Over record is 5-1.
This season the Reds are 19-18 at home and the Brewers are 20-15 on the road.
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
Milwaukee Brewers: 41-37 SU / O/U 42-32 / Run Line W/L 46-32
Cincinnati Reds: 31-44 SU / O/U 45-26 / Run Line W/L 40-35
Milwaukee at Cincinnati Key Betting Trends
- MIL 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
- MIL is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. National League Central
- MIL has an Over record of 4-0-1 in their last 5 games
- CINCY is 7-19 in their last 26 overall
- CINCY is 8-20 in their last 28 games following a loss
- CINCY has an Over record of 39-18-2 in their last 59 games
Key Player Injuries
BREWERS
[LF] 05/27/2017 – Ryan Braun 10-day DL (05/26) ( Calf )
[P] 06/21/2017 – Wily Peralta 10-day DL (06/21) ( Calf )
[P] 06/14/2017 – Brandon Woodruff 10-day DL (06/13) ( Hamstring )
[2B] 06/10/2017 – Jonathan Villar 10-day DL (06/10) ( Back )
REDS
[P] 06/26/2017 – Brandon Finnegan left last game, “?” for next scheduled start ( Tricep )
[P] 06/26/2017 – Bronson Arroyo 60-day DL (06/19) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/18/2017 – Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (04/02) ( Elbow )
[SS] 06/19/2017 – Zack Cozart 10-day DL (06/18) ( Quad )
[P] 04/03/2017 – Nefi Ogando 60-day DL (03/30) ( Hand )
[P] 04/02/2017 – Nick Travieso 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder )