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It’s the No 5 Michigan State Spartans vs. No. 4 Iowa Hawkeyes in the Big Ten Championship game on 12/5/2015 at 8 PM at Lucas Oil Stadium Indianapolis, IN. The line on this title contest opened with the Spartans a -4 point spread favorite and has moved down slightly to -3.5. The Total line opened at 52.5 and has dropped to 51 at most sports betting shops.
Michigan State moved to 11-1 on the season with a 55-16 win over Penn State in their last game and they are at 5-7 ATS after covering as a 7.5-point favorite. The victory and the point spread cover were the Spartans third straight and the OVER was the first in three games after having back to back UNDERS.
In their last game Iowa remained undefeated moving to 12-0 on the season with a 28-20 win over Nebraska getting the money as small -2.5 road favorite. They’re’ now 7-5 against the spread and versus the O/U line.
These two squads las battled in the 2013 season at Iowa where the Spartans got the victory over the Hawkeyes 26-14 covering the spread as a +1.5 dog. Over the last ten meetings dating back to the 2002 season Iowa holds a 6-4 edge straight up and an even better bankroll padding 7-3 ATS. The total has been split down the middle with going 5-5, but recent matches have an UNDER trend with four of the last six falling under the line.
Michigan State ranks 44nd in scoring offense racking up 33.4 points per game. They’ve been getting it down through the air with an average of 239 yards through the air and 160.4 yards on the ground per game. Defensively they rank a very good 22nd in scoring defense allowing 21.1 points per game backed by a superior run defense that has allowed a 15th best 118 yards per game.
Iowa has a slight edge in scoring over their rival this week putting up 33.7 points on the board per game. Their rushing offense has been strong putting up 32nd ranked 203.7 yards per game. On the defensive side of the ball the Hawkeyes are allowing just 18.7 yards per game to rank 15th in the nation. Their run defense has been a force allowing opponent’s just 110 yards per game.
Michigan State: 86.68
Iowa: 85.14
- MSU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- MSU is 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- MSU has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- IOWA is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- IOWA is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- IOWA has an Over record of 13-5-2 in their last 20 games overall.