The New Mexico State Aggies (0-5) will host the Liberty Flames (3-2) on Saturday, October 5th, 2019 in the first game of a two-game regular-season series. Kick-off is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET and broadcasted on ESPN+. The Aggies and Flames underwent a home-and-home series as a part of their 2018 seasons both utilizing their independent status to pen the series. Each team won one game per side, the Home Team winning both contests. Overall the matches were settled by a margin of 7.5 points.
Liberty Flames at New Mexico State Aggies Key Injury Concerns
Neither Liberty nor New Mexico State has declared any key injury concerns heading into their match-up.
Liberty Flames at New Mexico State Aggies Overview
Liberty Flames
After losing their first two matches of the season, the Flames have seemingly caught fire and won their last three contests overall. Most recently, the Flames took care of a team that the Aggies know quite well: the Lobos of New Mexico. Closing as a 7.5-point favorite, the Flames were on the bitter end of a narrow loss against the spread as they defeated the Lobos 17-10 to round off their three-game home-stand, last Saturday.
New Mexico State Aggies
The Aggies come into this game in poor form as they have lost their last seven games dating back to the 2018-19 season. In spite of this, the Aggies have been quite kind to takers as of late as they have covered in three of their previous four outings overall. Most recently, New Mexico State hosted Fresno State last Saturday and fell to the Bulldogs by a score of 30-17, covering as a 21-point underdog.
Reasons To Back Liberty Flames
Some of the sharper sportsbooks have priced the Flames half of a point ahead of the market which says to me they are steering action on Liberty toward other outfits because there is a high confidence that Liberty will win this one convincingly. Given the fact that Liberty is up against the worst defense in the FBS in scoring (47.2 points against per game) that also scores just 19.2 points per contest (119th in America), pulling the trigger on the red-hot Flames seems like the prudent choice.
Reasons To Avoid New Mexico State Aggies
As mentioned, the Aggies operate at a margin of -28, and that makes them very hard to back here with a shorter allotment of points by contrast. Unlike Liberty who seems to be igniting and heading in the right direction, the Aggies continue to offer more reason to stay clear as their overall poor form and inability to win makes them a dangerous choice here given we do not have the usually enhanced cushion of points to work with. This play comes down to riding the team with the hot hand and exploiting a match-up against a team that is ice-cold.
- Get more details: Liberty at New Mexico State NCAAF Match-up Stats