Game Overview
The Mavericks face a major shift after trading Luka Dončić to the Lakers. With Anthony Davis sidelined due to an abductor strain, Dallas lacks a true offensive focal point. Meanwhile, Charlotte struggles to score efficiently, ranking near the bottom of the league in field goal percentage and three-point shooting.
Key Reasons to Bet the Under
1. Mavericks’ Offensive Struggles Without Luka
Dallas lost their best playmaker and scorer in Luka Dončić. With Anthony Davis unavailable, they lack a go-to offensive leader. Expect a slower pace and lower offensive efficiency.
2. Charlotte’s Scoring Woes
The Hornets are 28th in the NBA in scoring (105.4 PPG) and dead last in field goal percentage (42.5%). Their inefficient offense will struggle against a Mavericks team that has shifted to a more defensive focus.
3. Dallas’ Improved Defensive Focus
Without Luka, the Mavericks will emphasize defense. They rank 9th in opponent FG% (45.8%) and 7th in opponent three-pointers allowed. Expect them to limit Charlotte’s already weak offense.
4. Recent Betting Trends Favor the Under
- The Hornets are 5-2 to the Under in their last seven games.
- Charlotte’s last four road games have gone Under.
- Dallas is 5-2 to the Under in their last seven home games.
5. Pace and Blowout Factor
If the Mavericks control the game, expect a lower tempo. Charlotte’s offense lacks explosiveness, meaning even if Dallas wins comfortably, it may not be a high-scoring game.