Kyrie Irving

Hornets vs Mavericks Betting Preview: Points Hard to Come By in Post-Luka Era

By Rich Crew
Date: 27/02/2025 8:30 pm
Location: American Airlines Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Dallas -9.5
Moneyline: Dallas -450 / Charlotte +350
Total: 225.5

Game Overview

The Mavericks face a major shift after trading Luka Dončić to the Lakers. With Anthony Davis sidelined due to an abductor strain, Dallas lacks a true offensive focal point. Meanwhile, Charlotte struggles to score efficiently, ranking near the bottom of the league in field goal percentage and three-point shooting.

Key Reasons to Bet the Under

1. Mavericks’ Offensive Struggles Without Luka

Dallas lost their best playmaker and scorer in Luka Dončić. With Anthony Davis unavailable, they lack a go-to offensive leader. Expect a slower pace and lower offensive efficiency.

2. Charlotte’s Scoring Woes

The Hornets are 28th in the NBA in scoring (105.4 PPG) and dead last in field goal percentage (42.5%). Their inefficient offense will struggle against a Mavericks team that has shifted to a more defensive focus.

3. Dallas’ Improved Defensive Focus

Without Luka, the Mavericks will emphasize defense. They rank 9th in opponent FG% (45.8%) and 7th in opponent three-pointers allowed. Expect them to limit Charlotte’s already weak offense.

4. Recent Betting Trends Favor the Under

  • The Hornets are 5-2 to the Under in their last seven games.
  • Charlotte’s last four road games have gone Under.
  • Dallas is 5-2 to the Under in their last seven home games.

5. Pace and Blowout Factor

If the Mavericks control the game, expect a lower tempo. Charlotte’s offense lacks explosiveness, meaning even if Dallas wins comfortably, it may not be a high-scoring game.

Free NBA Betting Pick

With Dončić gone, Davis sidelined, and both teams struggling offensively, this game has all the makings of an Under. Look for a defensive battle with a projected final score of

Dallas 108, Charlotte 102.

Free Pick: Bet the Under 225.5 with confidence.
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