Tristan Jerry Pittsburgh Penguins

Penguins vs. Panthers Picks and Predictions: Total Play Recommended

By Statinator
Date: 23/03/2025 6:00 pm
Location: Amerant Bank Arena
TV: ESPN+

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Penguins +230 / Panthers -280
Total: 6 (O +100 / U -120)

Betting Odds & Key Trends

  • Spread: Panthers -1.5
  • Total: 6
  • Penguins ATS Record: 37-31-3 (5-1 ATS last 6)
  • Panthers ATS Record: 32-37-1 (0-5 ATS last 5)
  • Head-to-Head: Florida 6-1-3 in last 10 vs. Pittsburgh
  • Penguins’ Last 10: 5-4-1 (5-1 last 6)
  • Panthers’ Last 10: 6-4 (0-5 ATS)

Matchup Breakdown

The Pittsburgh Penguins (29-32-10) head to Amerant Bank Arena to take on the Florida Panthers (42-25-3) in what’s shaping up to be a crucial matchup for both teams. Pittsburgh is fighting to stay in playoff contention, while Florida looks to lock down home-ice advantage in the first round of the playoffs.

Pittsburgh’s Strengths & Weaknesses

The Penguins have been riding a hot streak, winning five of their last six, including a 6-3 victory over Columbus. Sidney Crosby continues to lead the way offensively, and Evgeni Malkin has found his scoring touch with 7 points in his last five games. However, Pittsburgh’s defense remains a concern, allowing 3.62 goals per game (31st in the NHL).

The Penguins’ power play is middling at 23.83% (17th), but the penalty kill has been reliable at 77.54%. Their struggles on the road (11-18-5) are well-documented, and they’ve dropped four of their last five away from home.

Florida’s Strengths & Weaknesses

Florida has stumbled a bit, losing four of its last six, but they’ve been dominant at home, winning five straight at Amerant Bank Arena. The Panthers’ defense remains elite, allowing just 2.71 goals per game (4th in the NHL). Sergei Bobrovsky has been rock-solid in net with a .915 save percentage at home.

Offensively, Sam Reinhart and Aleksander Barkov continue to lead the charge. Florida’s power play (24.27%) and penalty kill (81.19%) are both top 10 in the league, and their home scoring (3.21 goals per game) gives them an edge.

Head-to-Head Matchup

The teams have split their two meetings this season, with the home team winning both. Pittsburgh won 5-4 in overtime at home, while Florida took a 3-2 shootout victory in Sunrise. The total has gone UNDER in five of their last six meetings in Florida.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Florida Panthers Betting Pick

Pittsburgh’s recent form makes them a tempting underdog, but Florida’s defensive strength and home-ice dominance are hard to ignore. The Penguins have struggled to score consistently on the road, and Florida’s ability to limit shots (26.64 per game) gives them a significant edge.

The Panthers’ recent issues against the spread (0-5 ATS last 5) are concerning, but their strong defensive play at home should hold up against Pittsburgh’s inconsistent attack.

Free Pick: Take the Under 6 -115
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