Conner McDavid

Montreal Canadiens vs. Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview | March 6, 2025

By Statinator
Date: 06/03/2025 9:00 pm
Location: Rogers Place
TV: TBA

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Edmonton -1.5
Moneyline: Montreal +200 | Edmonton -250
Total: 6.5

Get key betting insights for the Canadiens vs. Oilers matchup on March 6, 2025, including odds, trends, and expert picks. Can Montreal stay hot, or will Edmonton break out of its slump?

Game Preview: Canadiens Riding Momentum, Oilers Struggling to Score

Montreal enters this game as one of the hottest teams in the NHL, riding a season-high five-game win streak while keeping opponents in check, allowing three or fewer goals in five straight games. The Oilers, on the other hand, are trending in the opposite direction, dropping six of their last seven contests while struggling to generate offense, scoring three or fewer goals in six straight.

Despite Edmonton’s overall strong season, their recent form raises concerns, especially against a disciplined Montreal squad that has been cashing tickets for bettors. The Canadiens are 33-28 ATS on the year, while the Oilers have been a tough team to back, going just 22-39 ATS despite their solid record.

Key Matchups & Betting Analysis

🔹 Montreal’s Defensive Edge vs. Edmonton’s Cold Offense

The Canadiens have locked things down defensively in recent games, thanks in part to Sam Montembeault’s strong play between the pipes. Over his last five starts, Montembeault has posted a 2.00 GAA and a .929 save percentage, backstopping Montreal to key victories over Buffalo, Carolina, and Ottawa.

Meanwhile, Edmonton’s offense has hit a wall. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are still producing, but the Oilers lack secondary scoring, especially with Evander Kane (knee) out. This is a major reason they’ve struggled to cover spreads and hit Overs lately, going 1-6 in their last seven games while staying Under the total in five of their last eight.

🔹 Special Teams Battle

Montreal’s power play has been decent at 21.98%, but their penalty kill (75.34%) remains a concern against an Edmonton squad that still boasts one of the best power plays in the league. However, the Oilers have struggled to capitalize on man advantages in recent games, going just 2-for-12 on the power play over their last five contests.

🔹 Head-to-Head Trends

  • The Canadiens are 6-4 SU in their last 10 meetings with the Oilers.
  • The last three matchups have all gone Under 6.5 total goals.
  • Montreal won the first meeting this season 3-0 as a +236 underdog (Nov. 18, 2024).

Best Bet & Prediction

With both teams trending Under and Montreal playing sound defensive hockey, the key to this total is the hook at 6.5 goals. The Canadiens have held five straight opponents to three goals or fewer, and Edmonton’s offensive struggles make it hard to justify an Over bet.

The Oilers are still being priced as a heavy favorite, but their recent struggles and Montreal’s strong play make the Habs a tempting underdog at +200. That said, the Under 6.5 (-110) is the best play here given recent form and defensive trends.

Final Score Prediction:

Montreal 3, Edmonton 2 (OT)

Free Pick: Take the Under 6.5
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