Colorado heads to Toronto for a marquee matchup between two playoff contenders with nearly identical records. The Avalanche have been one of the hottest teams in the NHL, winning eight of their last ten games. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs are looking to build momentum after a convincing 6-2 win over Calgary. Will Colorado’s offensive firepower be too much for Toronto’s defense to handle?
Quick Handicap
- Colorado ATS Record: 7-2 ATS in last 9 games
- Toronto ATS Record: 2-8 ATS in last 10 games
- Head-to-Head: Colorado is 6-1 SU and ATS in their last 7 games in Toronto
- Colorado’s Last 10 Games: 8-1-1 SU, 6-4-0 O/U
- Toronto’s Last 10 Games: 5-4-1 SU, 6-3-1 O/U
Matchup Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado’s offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 3.35 goals per game (6th in the NHL) while allowing just 2.90 goals per game. They’ve won eight of their last nine games, including a 7-4 win over Toronto on March 8.
The Avalanche are getting balanced scoring from Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and Cale Makar, and their power play is converting at 23.83%. Colorado’s defense has also held up well, allowing 26.13 shots per game and killing penalties at 79.04% — a key edge over Toronto’s penalty kill.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto has been inconsistent lately, going 2-5 SU in their last seven games and just 2-8 ATS in their last 10. However, they’re coming off a big 6-2 win over Calgary, where their power play went a perfect 3-for-3.
The Leafs are scoring 3.22 goals per game (10th in the NHL) and have a strong home record at 21-13-1. Their power play is converting at an impressive 25.27%, but the penalty kill has struggled at 78.39%.
Anthony Stolarz is expected to start in net, but he’s hit a rough patch, going 0-3-1 in his last five appearances with **15 goals allowed on 121 shots** (.876 SV%). Despite the recent struggles, Stolarz has still managed a solid **2.39 GAA** and **.918 save percentage** over 25 appearances this season — but facing Colorado’s red-hot offense is no small task.
