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Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico State Aggies Nova Homes Arizona Bowl Pick – Odds

By Keith F
Date: 29/12/2017 5:30 pm
Location: Arizona Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Utah State -4
Total: 61

The Nova Homes Arizona Bowl will feature a battle of Aggies. This year, the Mountain West’s Utah State (6-6) will take on the Sun Belt Conference’s New Mexico State (6-6) at Arizona Stadium in the picturesque Tucson, Arizona. The contest will kick off on Friday, December 29th, 2017 at 5:30 PM ET. The bowl game will be broadcasted for national audiences on ESPN. The two teams have met since 2012 when Utah State smoked New Mexico State in Logan by a score of 41-7.

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Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico State Aggies Overview

Utah State enters this contest off a 38-35 loss against Air Force in Colorado Springs. The loss could have potentially put the Aggies bowl aspirations in jeopardy given the fact AFA failed to produce a winning season in 2017. Such a loss could have influenced selection criteria, fortunately for USU that was not the case. For New Mexico State, there is a lot more to their record and profile that meets the eye. This is a team that bodes the services one of the nation’s best passers in quarterback Tyler Rogers. In 2017, Rogers passed for 3,825 yards and in doing so propelled NM State to wins in both the Rio Grande Rivalry and Battle of I-10 rivalry game for the first time in 15 years.

Utah State at New Mexico State Betting Trends

  • Utah State is 6-6 ATS this season.
  • New Mexico State is 6-5-1 ATS this season.
  • New Mexico State is 3-1 SU in their last four contests.
  • Under is 5-0 ATS in the last Utah State bowl games.

Public Money Consensus

Out of the gate, we have seen substantial action pour in on Utah State in this market. As a result, we have seen the market move upward by 1.5 points. Additionally, 91% of the cash and 67% of the tickets are with Utah State in this market. In Over/Under markets, the figure has dropped by just half of a point to reflect action on the Under.

Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico State Aggies Prediction

Utah State have made five bowl appearances dating back to 2011. New Mexico State has not been to a bowl game since the Kennedy Era. This in itself makes New Mexico State a tough option to back to the public eye. Over Utah State’s recent bowl appearances, they are 3-2 SU in these respective affairs. The two losses were decided by a combined three points. Furthermore, Utah State defeated recognizable names when it comes to mid-major teams, including Toledo and Northern Illinois. All of these considerations further inflate the consensus perception of Utah State. Nevertheless, we would urge all keen to back Utah State to think again as these conditions curate the possibility for an overlay. Not only can New Mexico State cover, they can likely win here. Thus, NM State may also be worth a look on the Money Line in addition to simply taking the points.

Free Pick: Take New Mexico State +4
Bovada

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