The quest for Super Bowl LII begins this Saturday afternoon with a Wild Card Round matchup in the AFC between the 9-7 Tennessee Titans and the 10-6 Kansas City Chiefs. Game time from Arrowhead Stadium is set for 4:20 p.m. with ESPN carrying the national broadcast.
Tennessee at Kansas City Game Overview
The Titans earned their first playoff birth in nine years with Sunday’s 15-10 victory at home against rival Jacksonville as 2.5-point favorites. It was their first straight-up victory in their last four games, but they have now covered against the spread in five of their last six outings. Tennessee is 8-7-1 ATS overall with a 3-5 record ATS in its eight road games this year. The total has stayed UNDER in four of its last six games overall.
It was not pretty, but behind Marcus Mariota’s 134 yards passing and his 60 yards on the ground, the Titans found a way to get a win when they needed one the most. Give credit to Tennessee’s defense after it held the Jaguars to just 229 yards of total offense. Overall, the Titans are ranked 23rd in the NFL on offense in average yards gained (314.0) and 19th in scoring with 20.9 points per game. Their defense improves to 17th in the league in points allowed (22.2).
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Kansas City started the season strong at 5-0 (SU and ATS) and its finished the same way with a 4-0 run both SU and ATS in its last four games. At 10-6 (SU and ATS), everything in between was pretty much forgettable in the Chiefs’ run to another AFC West Division title. They went 6-2 ATS at home this season and the total stayed UNDER in their last four home games. Kansas City was 8-5 ATS this year when closing as a favorite.
Alex Smith sat out Sunday’s regular season finale against Denver after passing for 4,042 yards and 26 touchdowns through his first 15 games. The Chiefs’ passing offense was seventh in the NFL in yards per game (256.5) and they also had a potent ground game behind Kareem Hunt. He ended the year with 1,327 rushing yards and eight touchdown runs. Kansas City averaged 25.9 PPG on offense while holding opposing teams to 21.2 points on the other side of the ball.
Tennessee at Kansas City Game Betting Trends
- The Titans are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 road games and they are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight January games. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four playoff games.
- The Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win, but they have failed to cover in their last five games in the postseason. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five playoff games at home.
- Head-to-head in this AFC tilt, the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight games and the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings.
