Brendan Sorsby Indiana Hoosiers

Spartans vs. Hoosiers Pick & Predictions for Week 12

By Statinator
Date: 18/11/2023 12:00 pm
Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium
TV:

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Indiana -3.5
Moneyline: michigan State +150, Indiana -170
Total: 47

Game Overview

With both teams standing at a 3-7 record, the matchup at Memorial Stadium hints at a moderately competitive game. Indiana’s slightly superior offense gives them an edge, reflected in the betting odds.

Power Stats Analysis

Yards Per Point: Michigan State shows greater efficiency. Yards Per Pass: Comparable performance. Yards Per Rush: Michigan State holds a slight edge.

Smart Chart Analysis: Indiana leads offensively, but both teams have defensive vulnerabilities. Michigan State’s defense is slightly more robust against the pass.

Head-to-Head & Recent Form

Historically, Michigan State has the upper hand. However, recent games show a trend towards high-scoring matchups, with Indiana participating in more competitive and high-scoring games recently.

Betting Odds and Trends

Indiana’s inconsistency and tendency for high-scoring games are notable. Michigan State’s struggles, especially on the road, are evident in their recent performance.

Key Insights

  • Offensive Edge: Indiana
  • Defensive Consistency: Marginally Michigan State
  • Red Zone Scoring: Michigan State is more efficient
  • Turnover and Penalty Issues: A concern for both, with Michigan State being heavily penalized

Betting Angle

Indiana is favored due to their offensive prowess. The high likelihood of surpassing the total line is influenced by both teams’ defensive challenges. Indiana might cover the spread, but the total line going over seems like a safer bet.

Michigan at Indiana Free Pick ATS

Handicappers should consider Indiana’s offensive capabilities against their defensive flaws, and Michigan State’s overall performance struggles. The total points over appears to be a promising bet, with Indiana’s ability to cover the spread hinging on their defense’s performance.

Free Pick: Take Indiana -3.5
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