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San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins Week 7 Pick

By Keith F

The San Francisco 49ers (5-0) and Washington Redskins (1-5) will square off at FedEx Field for a NFC conference clash on Sunday, October 20th, 2019, at 1:00 PM ET. The game will be broadcasted on FOX. The Skins own the most recent win this series as they hosted the 49ers in October of 2017 and handed San Francisco a 26-24 loss. The Niners were able to come in under the number as a result, closing as a 12-point underdog. San Francisco is 3-1 ATS in the previous four meetings between these two parties. In addition, another noteworthy trend worth highlighting is the fact that the Road Team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five contests.

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins Key Injury Concerns

The 49ers are sporting questionable tags to key players as they head into this intra-conference collision. Most notably, Running Back Matt Breida and Cornerback Richard Sherman both hold up-in-the air statuses heading into Sunday’s bout. Last Sunday, Breida sustained an ankle injury to an unknown extent. The same also holds true for Sherman, who departed the Niners’ win against Los Angeles, an upper right arm injury.

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins Overview

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers remain the sole unbeaten in the NFC after it staged an upset of the defending NFC Champions, the Los Angeles Rams, when the two sides met in the City of Angels, last Sunday. Closing as a three-point underdog, the Niners stout defense paved the way to a 20-7 victory over their divisional rivals.

Washington Redskins

The Redskins won their first game of the 2019 season, but the opponent in which they did so against will not garner them any love. Closing as a six-point favorite, the Washington Redskins narrowly defeated the Miami Dolphins on the road by a score of 17-16. The Redskins have now failed to cover in five consecutive outings since sneaking through the backdoor to produce their sole cover this season in their opener against divisional rival Philadelphia.

Reasons to Avoid San Francisco

Outside of the question marks that surround whether or not a couple of impact players will be available, the element of travel fatigue and jet-lag working against the 49ers. San Francisco will have to travel nearly 3,000 miles across three time zones to play against the Redskins, and it won’t help matters that the Niners will have to play an early start, which could really throw them off their game. This makes them a dubious bet laying nearly double-digit points to the hosts.

Reasons to Back Washington

The Redskins are in a position to be a value play as they will likely be working with enhanced points in this spot. First, the number is positioned to be inflated next to their name, given the contrasting state of both franchises. The only manner in which the market could entice action on Washington, given their overall public perception, is by offering a robust allotment of points. This narrative will be seconded by the fact that the Redskins have not covered in five straight games and further reinforces the aforementioned principles. Washington squeaking by Miami does not help its cause to be a trendy pick either, especially when San Francisco has put together an impressive catalog of wins in back-to-back weeks. All of these plotlines will certainly allow backers to make an equitable wager on the Skins who are taking back a few more points than they probably should.

49ers at Redskins Prediction 10/20/19

In four of San Francisco’s five wins this season, they have won by 13 points or more. In light of all the reasons I would ascribe to Washington being undervalued in this spot, I would have expected the line to be a bit larger because of how dominant San Francisco has been against the field at-large. When analyzing and breaking down the angles, I would suspect that had Washington won and/or covered once or twice over their five-game ATS skid that the number presented would have been below a touchdown. The fact remains that given the difference in quality between both parties that the line is a bit soft. After all, Buffalo is laying 17 to Miami (the team that Washington beat by a point) this weekend, and they have actually lost a game. Be that as it may, we have yet to see San Francisco truly play down to the level of their competition this season, and this scenario fits the bill to where the potential for that to happen is high. San Francisco will win, but there will be a scare. I have this game being settled by one score. Grab the points.

Free Pick: Take Washington +9.5
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