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Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers Pick

By Cliff Knox
Date: 26/09/2019 8:20 pm
Location: Lambeau Field
TV: Fox Sports

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Packers -4.5
Total: 45

Outlook for Thursday Night Kickoff

The Eagles have been grounded losing their last two games where they made many mistakes. In their previous match, they were at home and lost to the Detroit Lions 27-24 where their shorthanded WR corps had seven dropped passes. They only have one sack in their last two games and Philly is giving up an average of 26 ppg.

The Packers are one of seven 3-0 teams, and the reason they have yet to lose is because of a defense that has only given up an average of 11.7 ppg. Green Bay’s offense has yet to click, and while Aaron Rodgers had not been bad, he has not had a big game yet and leads an offense that is only averaging 19.3 ppg.

These teams have not played since 2016 in Philadelphia where the Packers beat the Eagles 27-13.

How the Public is Betting the Eagles at Packers Game

The line on this game opened at most betting sites with the Packers a -4 home favorite and that’s held at most sportsbooks with a few of the more squarish hanging as high as -5. The total opened at and has remained a consensus 46 points.

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Injury Concerns

Eagles:

RB Corey Clement, LB Nate Gerry, WR J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, TE Dallas Goedert, WR Alshon Jeffery, DE Derek Barnett, and T Andre Dillard are listed as questionable, and WR DeSean Jackson is listed as doubtful.

Packers:

The Packers have a lot of players banged up, as RB Aaron Jones, T Kenny Clark, CB Kevin King, ILB Oren Burks, DT Montravius Adams, LB Kyler Fackrell, RB Jamaal Williams, CB Will Redmond, ILB Blake Martinez, LB Rashan Gary, WR Jake Kumerow. T Bryan Bulaga and TE Jimmy Graham are all listed as questionable.

When the Eagles Have the Ball

The Eagles have to cut down on mistakes, which killed them in the loss to the Lions. They are thin at WR with Alshon Jeffery questionable and DeSean Jackson doubtful, and they both missed the last game. Carson Wentz passed for 259 yards with two TD and no INT in the loss to the Lions with Miles Sanders leading the team with 53 rushing yards as well as 73 receiving yards. Wentz will be facing a Packers’ defense that has played well, and his offensive line has to protect him from a solid Green Bay pass rush that had six sacks in their last game.

When the Packers Have the Ball

The Packers have had balance this season with the run and the pass, but their offense has not clicked. Rodgers passed for 235 yards with a TD and no INT, Jamaal Williams rushed for 59 yards averaging 4.9 yards per carry, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 99 receiving yards. After the game, Rodgers said simply that he has to play better, and the team needs to score more points. He has yet to be picked off this season and has passed for 647 yards with four TD. Green Bay has tried to establish the run this season but Williams and Aaron Jones, who leads the team in rushing yards, are each averaging less than four yards per carry. On top of that, both are listed as questionable for this game with injuries.

Betting Trends

The Packers have covered the spread in all three of their games this season while the Eagles have failed to get an against the spread cover in their three games. While the Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games facing the Eagles the road team has covered the spread in four of the previous five games between these teams. Both of these teams have been solid bets on Thursday games, as the Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last four Thursday night games and the Packers are 4-0-1 ATS in their previous five games on that day. In an interesting betting trend, Green Bay is 4-0 ATS in their last four September games while the Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last six September games. Not a lot of shootouts between these teams in the last several meetings, as in the previous eight games between them the total has gone Under seven times.

Weather Report

The temperature for this game will be on the cooler side with the Thursday night kickoff forecasted for 58 degrees. There is no chance of rain and wind is expected to be a moderate 7-10 miles per hour.

Eagles vs. Packers Prediction 9/26/19

The Packers have played well on defense especially in the secondary that has allowed only 592 combined yards through the air this season. They are banged up in the front seven and may be short a few guys come game time. Offensively, they’ve struggled to protect QB Rodgers giving up seven sacks but held the Broncos to zero last week.

The Eagles have done OK offensively scoring 20 or more points in all three games this season, but like the Pack their O-line hasn’t impressed allowing seven sacks. Part of the problem is a banged-up receiving crew that reports state will be without team yardage leader DeSean Jackson. Fellow WR Alshon Jeffrey has been dealing with a calf issue and hasn’t been very effective with five catches for 49 yards. The Philadelphia defense has done a great job against the run holding the opposition to 171 yards on 2.9 yards a carry which may take away the play-action game from Rodgers.

I can see this going two ways, the Eagles going in and beating the Packers outright or a defensive game with a 20-17 score. The total seems the more likely of the two, so that’s where my bucks are going to land on this game.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 45
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