Is Coach Gruden’s process working? His Oakland Raiders are above .500, heading into an inter-conference bout with the Packers Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field. Oakland is also getting almost a touchdown on the NFL betting lines. How are we playing this game with our free NFL pick?
NFL Betting Odds
Week 7’s NFL betting odds opened Green Bay at -7 over Oakland, with an over/under of right around 46. Early betting action then dipped the Packers to -6 and bumped that total to 47.
Raiders vs. Packers Set-Up
Oakland is 3-2 on the season after beating Chicago in London two weeks ago 24-21. The Raiders then enjoyed last week off.
Oakland, as a seven-point underdog, jumped out to a 17-0 lead on the Bears two weeks ago, fell behind 21-17 in the third quarter, but regained the lead on a short Josh Jacobs touchdown run with two minutes to go. The Raiders defense then iced the victory with an interception a minute later.
With the win, Oakland also cashed in as +260 underdogs on the NFL betting money line.
On the evening, the Raiders out-gained Chicago 398-236, out-rushed the Bears 169-42, made 25 first downs to 15 for Chicago, and won the time of possession by a 35-25 split. Oakland also converted a fake punt that led to its game-winning score.
In other words, it was the Raiders’Raiders’ best performance of this season.
Three weeks ago, Oakland won at Indianapolis 31-24. With earlier losses to Kansas City and Minnesota, the Raiders are 2-2 both SU and ATS this season against teams with winning records right now.
Green Bay, meanwhile, is 5-1 on the season, after coming from behind to defeat Detroit Monday night 23-22. The Packers fell behind to the Lions early 13-0 and trailed 22-13 in the fourth quarter but scored the last 10 points of the game, albeit with some help from the zebras, to pull out the W.
However, Green Bay sat on the ball in the final minute, running the clock down to two seconds before kicking a game-winning field goal, declining a shot to cover the spread as a four-point favorite.
On the night, the Packers out-gained Detroit 447-299, out-rushed the Lions 170-56 and won the time of possession by a 33-27 split. But they also lost the turnover battle 3-0, basically leading to a minus-9 points differential.
Two weeks ago, Green Bay won at Dallas 34-24. So with earlier wins over Chicago and Minnesota and a loss to Philadelphia, the Packers are 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS this season against teams at .500 or better right now.
Green Bay owns a seven-game winning streak in the series against Oakland, stretching back to 1990. Most recently, the Packers beat the Raiders 30-20 back in 2015.
NFL Betting Trends
- Oakland is 2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS on the road under Coach Gruden.
- Green Bay is 3-1 both SU and ATS at home this season.
- Home teams are just 41-48 SU and 32-55 ATS this NFL season.
- Favorites are 53-38 SU but 36-53 ATS this NFL season.
Totals Report
- Overs are 3-2 in Raiders games this season, which are averaging 45 total points.
- Totals are split 3-3 in Packers games this season, which are averaging 43 points.
- Unders are 49-42 in the NFL this season.
- Get more details: Raiders at Packers NFL Match-up Stats
