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Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick – Odds – ATS Prediction

By David Schwab
Date: 08/12/2016 8:25 pm
Location: Arrowhead Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Kansas City -3
Total: 47.5

The Oakland Raiders will try and take another step towards winning the AFC West Division title this Thursday night when they square off against the rival Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. This division showdown is set to kick off at 8:25 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on NBC.

Oakland at Kansas City Game Overview

Oakland was able to extend its current straight-up winning streak to six games with Sunday’s 38-24 victory against Buffalo as a three-point home favorite. The total went well OVER the 48.5-point closing line and it has gone OVER in all six games during this impressive run. The Raiders improved to 5-1 against the spread during this winning streak and they are now 10-2 on the year SU with an 8-4 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in 10 of the 12 games.

With Derek Carr playing at a very high level, Oakland’s offense is ranked fourth in the NFL in average passing yards per game (277.1) and it is third in scoring with an average of 28.8 points a game. Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree remain his biggest targets in the passing game with a combined 135 receptions for 1,766 yards and 11 touchdowns. The Raiders still have some issues on the other side of the ball with a defense that is allowing an average of 24.9 points a game.

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The Chiefs were able to keep pace in the AFC West title race with a tight 29-28 win on the road at Atlanta that was decided by a safety on a botched extra point conversion by the Falcons late in the fourth quarter. Kansas City closed as a 4.5-point underdog and the total went OVER the 50-point line. It comes into this game at 9-3 SU with an even 6-6 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of its first 12 games.

Credit Eric Berry for Sunday’s crucial win after he returned an interception 102 yards for a touchdown before adding the safety that went onto to seal the game. Alex Smith also had a good day throwing the ball against Atlanta with 270 yards and a score while completing a highly efficient 21-of-25 passing attempts. The Chiefs also ran the ball well with 123 yards and two scores on 22 rushing attempts; however credit Albert Wilson with padding that number on a 55-yard run for a score.

Oakland at Kansas City Game Betting Trends

  • The Raiders’ current winning streak on the road this season has reached five games both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in four of those outings.
  • The Chiefs are 10-1 SU in their last 11 home games, but they fall all the way to just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played at home. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight games played at Arrowhead.
  • Head-to-head in this AFC West clash, Kansas City has won six of the last seven meetings SU including a 26-10 win at Oakland as a two-point favorite on Oct. 16. The Chiefs also have a 5-2 edge ATS in the last seven games of this series and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings at Arrowhead.

Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs Game Prediction

There is no doubt that Oakland remains one of the hottest teams in the league and it has been especially good on the road this season. The Chiefs continue to find ways to win games, but they are going to have their hands full this Sunday at home.

I am going to stick with the Raiders in this huge division showdown. Their AFC West Division title chances hang in the balance given that earlier loss to Kansas City so I like their chances to even the score this time around.

Free Pick: Take the Raiders +3
Bovada

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