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NY Giants at New England Patriots Pick – Week 6 Predictions

By Rich Crew
Date: 10/10/2019 8:20 pm
Location: Gillette Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: NYG +17 / NE -17
Total: 42.5

The Patriots come into this game off a 33-7 beat down of the Redskin extending their unbeaten streak to five games. After the Chiefs surprising home loss to the Colts, the Pats are of one of only two clubs that have yet to taste defeat with the 4-0 49ers being the other.

The Giants lost their first game since Daniel Jones took over the starting QB duties falling 28-10 to Vikings in a game that wasn’t as close as the final score indicates. With the loss the G-Men are now 2-3 on the season.

Public Likes The Pats

Joe Public is backing New England according to the consensus sites, with some showing as much as 74% of the point spread action landing on them. The total as is the norm the public is leaning on the OVER with 57% of the bets coming on that side of the line.

Giants Injury Issues

NYG is banged up big time on the offensive side of the ball. All-world running back Saquon Barkley remains out and his back-up Wayne Gallman was injured last game and will also miss. In comes rookie Jonathan Hillman who didn’t look good after taking over for Gallman last week picking up 20 yards on nine carries. The Giants are also short pass catchers with starters and top two statistically WR Sterling Shepard and TE Evan Engram out.

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Patriots Offensive Woes

New England put 33 points on the board last week, but they didn’t look dominate doing it. The offensive line gave up four sacks and QB Tom Brady was under pressure all game and this from a defense that had just five sacks in their first four games. In their previous game against Buffalo the Patriots’ offense scored a total of nine offensive points on 224 total yards!

Defensive Struggles

The Giants defensive numbers are far from impressive allowing an average of 25 points per game on 409 yards of offense. In reality it’s worse than that with the three points scored by the Redskins skewing the numbers. So, taking them out of the equation leaves us with an average of 29.5 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 7 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants’ last 5 games when playing on the road against New England

Weather

The forecast is calling for winds in the 15 -20 MPH range with gusts reaching as high at 30 MPH. Slight chance of rain later in the game.

Giants vs. Patriots Week 6 Prediction

It’s difficult to tell how good the Patriots No. 1 scoring defense really is. They’ve had a soft schedule facing the Dolphins, Jets and Washington who are the bottom three ranked scoring teams this season. That said, they did look good against Pittsburgh in the opener with Big Ben behind center holding the Steelers to three points on 308 yards. The Bills don’t scare anyone with their offense, but they were held to ten points at home in Week 4. The Giants are really shorthanded on offense and a rookie QB heading into Foxborough is never a good thing. The Pats have held four of their five opponents to ten or fewer points and all five opponents’ offenses to 10 or fewer points. So it’s not a reach to think they can hold the Giants to that number. The New England offense has not been up to par this season and while the Giants are unlikely to put a tough fight in good conditions, the weather has me thinking that the running game will be the Pats go to tonight.

 

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 42.5
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