Both the Sunday night and Monday night games in Week 11 of the NFL season should be good ones with all the teams involved needing a win to help their postseason chances.
Along with the betting lines for the games, there are a couple of unique player props on the board to add some more betting excitement to the action on the field. Each of these props offers the best value going with the plus money in the odds.
Todd Gurley Touchdown Run
The prop bet odds that Los Angeles Rams’ running back Todd Gurley runs for a touchdown on Sunday night against the Chicago Bears are set at +105. The odds the visiting Bears keep him out of the end zone on the ground are -130.
The Rams are 5-4 on the year, and watching their playoff chances slip away with four losses in their last six games. In a 17-12 Week 10 loss to Pittsburgh, the offense struggled all game long with less than 300 yards from scrimmage. Gurley carried the ball 12 times for 73 yards, but he failed to score a rushing touchdown.
Prior to that game, Gurley had scored five rushing touchdowns in his previous four games. He has six rushing scores on the year. Despite last Sunday’s performance, I do see Los Angeles having better success against the Bears this Sunday night with Gurley getting into the end zone running the ball.
The Rams are still a better team than their current record indicates, and this basically becomes a must-win as far as making a return trip to the playoffs. It also helps that LA is playing a Bears’ team that has just one win in its last five games.
Patrick Mahomes Fourth Quarter Touchdown Pass
With the Kansas City Chiefs on the road against the AFC West rival Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night Football, the prop bet odds that Chiefs’ quarterback Patrick Mahomes throws a fourth-quarter touchdown pass are set at +120. The odds against that happening are -150.
Following another MVP start to the season, Mahomes has some work to do moving forward with his team dropping to 6-4 on the year. Despite losses to Green Bay and Tennessee in two of their last three games, the Chiefs have still managed to average 27.3 points in their previous three outings. This team’s biggest problems are on the other side of the ball.
In his first start since suffering a knee injury, Mahomes threw for 446 yards and three touchdowns in the 35-32 loss to Tennessee. On the year, he has thrown for 18 touchdowns against the one interception.
Kansas City is ranked first in the NFL in total yards gained. This offense is also first in passing yards while falling to all the way to 24th in rushing yards per game. If the Chiefs are going to move the ball against the Chargers, it is going to be through the air.
Monday night is a must-win for each of these teams given their recent play and the tight race in the AFC West standings. Playing in prime time also brings out the best from a player like Mahomes, who is trying to live up to some lofty expectations coming off last season’s MVP campaign.
You also get the impression that Monday night’s matchup will remain close into the fourth quarter to set up some late-game heroics with Mahomes finding the end zone through the air.
