The Bears host the Lions in Week 14 at Soldier Field in Chicago. Detroit got a narrow 31-26 win at home earlier against their NFC North rival and are favored this time around by three points. The Over/Under total line is on the NFL board at 43 points. In this betting preview, I’ll provide you with some statistical analysis and my free pick against the spread.
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Last Games
Detroit Lions
The Lions won against the New Orleans Saints 33-28 in their last game. They covered the -4 spread, and the total went over 48.
Chicago Bears
The Bears won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 12-10. They were 3-point underdogs and covered the spread. The total went under 43.5.
Top 5 Reasons Why the Bears Can Cover the Spread
Recent Defensive Form: The Bears’ defense showed strength in their recent win against the Vikings, suggesting they can contain the Lions’ offense.
Home Field Advantage: Playing at Soldier Field can be a significant advantage for Chicago, potentially impacting Detroit’s performance.
Turnover Potential: With a positive turnover differential, the Bears have shown they can capitalize on opponents’ mistakes, which could be crucial in a close game.
Lions’ Road Record ATS: While the Lions have a strong overall ATS record, they might be less dominant on the road, giving the Bears a better chance to cover.
Motivation Factor: Being underdogs and playing at home, the Bears have the extra motivation, especially against a division rival. This is a key angle.
Betting Trends
Detroit Lions
- Strong overall ATS record (8-4) but may not be as dominant on the road.
- High-scoring team, which can sometimes lead to closer games against defensive-minded teams.
- Tendency for games to go over, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.
Chicago Bears
Mixed ATS record (5-6-1) but have covered in recent games.
- Strong performance at home against the spread.
- Recent games have gone under, suggesting a focus on defense.
