Divisional rivals meet for a third time this season when the NFC East champion Eagles host the wild-card Giants for an NFC divisional-round grudge match Saturday night in Philadelphia. The Eagles beat the Giants twice during the regular season but quarterbacks Jalen Hurts and Danny Jones have split their two NFL meetings so far. Philly’s favored by seven and a hook for this one; who do we like for our free NFL playoffs betting pick?
NFL Playoffs Betting Lines
The NFL playoffs betting odds opened Philadelphia as a 7.5-point favorite for Saturday, with an over/under of right around 48. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action. According to Sagarin’s NFL ratings at USAToday.com the Eagles should be favored by 6.5 points for this match-up.
Giants-Eagles NFL Playoffs Betting Preview
New York reached this NFC divisional-round game by outlasting Minnesota in a wild-card game last weekend 31-24. The Giants spotted the Vikings the first seven points but came back to lead 17-14 at the half. New York then drove the opening possession of the second half to a touchdown to go up by 10 but Minnesota rallied back to tie the score at 24-24 early in the fourth quarter. The Giants then immediately drove 75 yards to the go-ahead score and held on from there. New York beat the Vikes outright as a three-point dog and cashed in at +160 on the money line. The Giants out-gained Minnesota 431-332, out-rushed the Vikings 142-61, converted 7/13 on 3rd downs and won time of possession by a 34:26 split. That was the second time this season New York out-played Minnesota. The Giants actually only out-gained six of their 17 opponents during the regular season and only out-rushed seven of 17 foes. But New York also only turned the ball over 16 times, second-fewest in the League, and committed zero turnovers last week. Philadelphia reached this NFC divisional-round bout by playing 14-3 this season, which earned it the top seed for these NFC playoffs and a wild-card bye. The Eagles started 8-0, with wins over the Vikings, Jacksonville and Dallas, before losing a game to divisional-rival Washington. Philadelphia then won five more in a row but lost QB Jalen Hurts to a shoulder injury, then lost two straight. But with a final chance to secure that No. 1 seed Hurts returned for the season finale two weeks ago and the Eagles beat the Giants 22-16. So Philadelphia is back in the playoffs for the second straight season under Coach Sirianni, with QB Hurts. The Eagles scored the first 19 points of the game two weeks ago against New York, which was resting many starters. Philadelphia then didn’t allow the Giants back to within one score until a minute and a half remained. The Eagles out-gained 13 of their 17 opponents this season and out-rushed eight of 17 foes. But they also finished 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games because they were favored by too much in wins against Houston, Indianapolis, Chicago and these Giants.
Giants-Eagles Recent History
The Eagles swept the season series from the Giants this year by scores of 48-22 and 22-16. Philadelphia bounced out to a 21-0 lead in that first match-up just six weeks ago at MetLife Stadium and covered at -7.5. Then two weeks ago the Eagles, as mentioned above, beat New York in Philly 22-16 in what was a meaningless game to the Giants.
Common Opponents
These two teams played 10 common opponents this season; their NFC East rivals, the NFC North and the AFC South. New York played those opponents to 8-3-1 SU, 10-2 ATS, Philadelphia to 10-2 SU but 6-6 ATS.
- Get more details: Giants at Eagles NFC Divisional Round Game Betting Stats
NFL Playoffs Betting Trends
The Giants would have played 13-4 ATS at +7.5 all season. Philadelphia would have played 8-9 ATS at -7.5 all season. Including last week’s wild-card win/cover New York is now 3-6 SU, 6-3 ATS this season against teams that made the playoffs. Philadelphia played 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS against playoff qualifiers. Over the last five divisional rounds of the playoffs teams coming off wild-card byes are 13-5 SU, 11-7 ATS. Over the last five divisional rounds home teams are 14-6 SU, 12-8 ATS. Over the last five divisional rounds favorites are 15-5 SU, 13-7 ATS.
Totals Report
- The Unders played 9-6 in Giants games this season, which averaged 43 total points. Then last week’s game against the Vikings played over a total of 48.
- The Overs played 10-7 in Eagles games this season, which averaged 48 points.
- The Overs played 4-2 in the wild-card round last week.
