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New York Jets at Green Bay Packers Odds & Pick for Week 6

By Darin Zank
Date: 16/10/2022 1:00 pm
Location: Lambeau Field
TV: Fox Sports 1

Betting Odds



Point Spread: NYJ +7.5/GB -7.5
Total: 45.5

The Jets are above .500 and coming off a big divisional-rivalry victory last week. The Packers are also 3-2 but coming off a disastrous defeat-overseas last week. So two teams coming in from different angles meet when Green Bay hosts New York Sunday afternoon on the not-yet-frozen tundra of Lambeau Field.

Which way are we going here with our free NFL betting pick?

NFL Betting Lines

The Week 6 NFL betting odds opened Green Bay as a nine-point favorite over New York, with an over/under of right around 44. Early betting action had the spread moving around but it has settled back to -7.5 and the total 45 to 45.5 on most boards.

Jets-Packers NFL Betting Preview

New York is 3-2 on the season after beating rival Miami last Sunday 40-17. The Jets took the lead for good on a safety two minutes into the game and used two second-quarter touchdowns to lead 19-14 at the half. New York allowed the Dolphins to pull within 19-17 midway through the third quarter but pulled away with three fourth-quarters TDs for the victory.

The Jets won outright Sunday as three-point home dogs and cashed in on the money line at +145.

New York out-gained Miami 322-295, ran the ball for 135 yards, and won the turnover battle 2-0.

Two weeks ago, the Jets came from behind in the fourth quarter to win at Pittsburgh 24-20. Three weeks ago, they lost in poor fashion to Cincinnati 27-12, but four weeks ago, New York came from behind in the fourth quarter to win at Cleveland 31-30. So the Jets are 3-1 in both SU and ATS their last four times out.

Green Bay, meanwhile, is also 3-2 on the season after blowing a 10-point halftime lead and losing to the Giants in London last Sunday 27-22. The Packers scored the first 10 points of the game and led 20-10 at the half. But Green Bay came up totally empty offensively in the second and let New York score 17 unanswered points on its way toward defeat.

Near the end, the Pack drove inside the New York 10-yard line but eschewed the run and had its last two passes batted down.
Green Bay got out-gained by the Giants 337-301, out-rushed 125-94, and allowed New York to convert 6/11 on third downs.

Two weeks ago, the Packers out-played New England but needed overtime to win 27-24. Three weeks ago, Green Bay won at Tampa Bay 14-12, and four weeks ago, it beat Chicago 27-10. So while the Packers aren’t exactly rolling, they have out-played three of their last four opponents.

Jets-Packers Recent History

These teams last met back in Week 16 of the 2018 season, a crazy but meaningless 44-38 Green Bay overtime victory at the Meadowlands. Aaron Rodgers threw for 442 yards that day for the Packers, while Sam Darnold threw three touchdown passes for New York.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Home teams are 41-36 SU and 37-38 ATS in the NFL this season.
  • Favorites are 49-30 SU but 33-43 ATS in the NFL this season.

Totals Report

  • The Overs are 3-2 in Jets games this season, averaging 47 total points.
  • The Unders are 3-2 in Packers games this season, averaging 38 points.
  • The Unders are 48-31 in the NFL this season, but that seems like a trend due for a correction.

Jets at Packers Week 6 Prediction ATS

New York is coming off a big divisional rivalry win last week, but we should point out Miami was down to its rookie third-string quarterback. We consider the Jets candidates for a letdown this week. Green Bay, meanwhile, is coming off a pathetic second-half performance last week. We consider the Packers good candidates to rebound this week. Ultimately Green Bay owns the better running game in this match-up, the better quarterback, and probably the better defense. We’re playing the Packers here, minus the points.

Free Pick: Take Green Bay -7.5
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