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New York Giants at Green Bay Packers Point Spread Pick

By David Schwab

Sunday night’s action in the NFL should be a good one with the New York Giants going on the road to face the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. Game time for this NFC tilt is set for 8:30 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on NBC.

New York at Green Bay Game Overview

New York’s promising 2-0 straight-up start has quickly deteriorated into a .500 record with back-to-back losses to Washington at home and Minnesota on the road. The Giants are just 0-3-1 against the spread and the total as stayed UNDER in three of their first four games. They are coming off their worst effort of the season in a 24-10 loss to the Vikings this past Monday night in a game that was not even that close.

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The Giants’ success or failure on offense still hinges heavily on the play of veteran quarterback Eli Manning. He tossed three touchdowns against just one interception while completing close to 74 percent of his throws in early season wins against Dallas and New Orleans. Over his last two outings he has been picked off three times against just one touchdown throw and his completion percentage dropped to 60.2.

Green Bay is coming off an early season bye week with a 2-1 SU start, but it has been tough on bettors with a 1-2 record ATS after closing as a favorite in all three games. The total has gone OVER in two of the three games including a 34-27 victory against Detroit in Week 3 as a 6.5-point home favorite. This was the Packers most complete effort of the season after a pair of shaky performances against Jacksonville in a tight win and Minnesota in a tight loss.

Aaron Rodgers is another quarterback that plays a huge role in his team’s success or failure. He too was somewhat shaky in his first two starts this year, but against the Lions things returned to form with four touchdown throws against no interceptions. He only put the ball up 24 times in that game, but he made all 15 completions count. The Packers’ offense is ranked 29th in the NFL in average yards per game (293.7), but it jumps all the way to 11th in scoring with an average of 25 points a game.

New York Giants at Green Bay Packers Game Betting Trends

  • The Giants have failed to cover in five of their last six conference games and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 October games.
  • The Packers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games coming off a bye week and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games played in the month of October. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven home games.
  • The home team in this matchup is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games between the two.

New York at Green Bay Prediction

This is a bad combination for the Giants in its second-straight road game against the NFC North. They are on a short week coming off a very shoddy effort facing a well-rested team coming off a bye.

Green Bay has already proven to be a successful betting team following a week off and that trend holds true this Sunday night. My “best bet” pick for this contest is to lay the seven points on the home team in another big prime time win at Lambeau.

Free Pick: Take the Green Bay -7 (DS) Push
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