new-orleans-saints-teddy-bridgewater-600

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears Week 7 Pick

By Keith F

The New Orleans Saints (5-1) and Chicago Bears (3-2) will face off for a high-profile NFC conference clash when the two meet on Sunday, October 20th, 2019 in the Windy City. Kick-off time is 4:25 PM ET and televised on FOX. New Orleans has been the profitable choice in this series as of late as they have gone 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings between both sides. New Orleans and Chicago last met in 2017 in the Big Easy when the Saints hosted the Bears. Closing as a 7.5-point favorite, the Saints narrowly covered in a 20-12 win over Chicago.

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New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears Key Injury Concerns

The most noteworthy injury surrounding this game is the injury to Saints franchise quarterback Drew Brees who has been sidelined since September due to a thumb injury. Brees is expected back in November, and thus the Saints will remain under the stewardship of back-up Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. The Saints have not lost a game under “Teddy Football” since Brees went off with his injury in New Orleans’ only loss this season at the Los Angeles Rams in Week Two.

New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears Overview

New Orleans Saints

The Saints come into this contest on the heels of a 13-6 win at the Jacksonville Jaguars last Sunday. New Orleans was priced as a 2.5-point underdog at the close and thus generated an outright upset. The Saints have covered in four straight outings since starting their campaign off 0-2 ATS.

Chicago Bears

The Bears come in off a bye after playing an International Series game in London on October 6th that they would like to forget. The Bears were defeated by the Oakland Raiders in a 24-21 thriller, ending Chicago’s three-game winning streak and failing to get the point spread cover as a -6.5 point favorite.

Reasons to Avoid New Orleans

At the moment, 64% of the consensus is on the Saints here with the points which raise a red flag that the favorite maybe supremely undervalued. New Orleans will undoubtedly be a sexy pick here as they own the second-best record in the NFC next to the undefeated San Francisco 49ers. To see the Saints priced as an underdog in this spot is by no means a mistake but instead a distinct position taken by the market. After all, this is New Orleans’ second straight road game while the Bears have an extra week of rest to prepare for hosting. This makes New Orleans’ a very dicey play in this spot.

Reasons to Back Chicago

There was a lot of hype surrounding the Bears in the pre-season as some dared picked this team to make it as far as the Super Bowl. In light of these lofty prognostications, the Bears have yet to put together a win this season that would suggest that they are worthy of such revelry. This is where the Bears can validate the hyperbole that surrounded them. Chicago lost its season opener when it hosted the Green Bay Packers, much to the chagrin of the general public that was on the Bears in that market as a 3.5-point favorite. The Bears would follow that up with a controversial win in Denver, an easier out in a prime-time spot against Washington, and then their best win this season a 16-6 win over the visiting Minnesota Vikings. However, Chicago’s credibility took a huge hit when they were upset by the Raiders in Jolly Old England. A win here can restore Chicago’s verity to the general public and will be an opportunity for Chicago to get its trajectory back on track.

Saints at Bears Prediction 10/20/19

The Over/Under in this game would suggest that this game will have a defensive connotation to it. Given the fact they own the third-ranked scoring defense (13.8 points per match), these intangibles play heavily into Chicago’s favor. When the prospect of inclement weather is tossed into the mix, this puts New Orleans at a considerable disadvantage, given the fact they typically play in a controlled environment. In addition, Chicago is one of the most notoriously hostile environments to play in as a visitor. This is another reason to stay clear of NOLA. While it may not be pretty, and it may come down to the final position, the Bears will get the job done and win this affair by at least four points.

Free Pick: Take Chicago -3.5
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