Former divisional and playoff rivals provide us with what should be a great game to watch and
bet when the Patriots take in the Colts Saturday night in Indianapolis. New England, following a
2-4 start to this season, has won its last seven games in a row. The Colts, meanwhile, after
starting 0-3, are 7-3 since. And both would make the playoffs if the postseason started today.
Indy is lined as a very short home favorite for this game. Who do we like here for our free NFL
betting pick?
Patriots-Colts NFL Betting Lines
The Week 15 NFL betting odds opened Indianapolis as a 1.5-point favorite for Saturday night,
with an over/under of right around 44. Early betting action then bumped the Colts to -2.5, and that total to 45.5.
Patriots Betting Preview
New England rides a seven-game winning streak into Saturday after beating Buffalo in the cold
two weeks ago 14-10. The Patriots then enjoyed last week off.
New England took the lead for good on the Bills with a long touchdown run 10 minutes into the
game, led 11-7 at the half, let Buffalo get within 11-10 in the third quarter but held on from there
for the outright victory as a three-point dog.
The Patriots, throwing the ball just three times all game, out-rushed the Bills 222-99. And the
only touchdown Buffalo scored came thanks to a muffed punt by New England deep in its own
territory.
So the Patriots have now out-gained each of their last five opponents and out-rushed four of their
last five foes. They’ve also allowed a total of just 26 points over their last five games.
At 9-4 overall, New England sits in the No. 2 spot in the AFC playoff standings, a half-game
behind 10-4 Kansas City.
Colts Betting Lines
Indianapolis, meanwhile, is 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS over its last five games after blanking Houston two
weeks ago 31-0. The Colts then also had last week off.
Indy turned a takeaway on the first play of the game against the Texas into a touchdown and led
14-0 at the half. The Colts then pulled away in the second half for the win and the money as 10-
point road favorites.
Indianapolis out-gained Houston 389-141, out-rushed the Texans 238-84, and dominated time of
possession by a 42:18 split.
The Colts have now out-gained four of their last five opponents and out-rushed seven of their last
Ten foes. They’ve also scored at least 30 points seven times over their last eight games.
At 7-6 overall, Indy sits in the No. 6 spot in the AFC playoff standings, a tie-breaker ahead of
four other teams.
- Get more details: New England at Indianapolis Week 15 Betting Stats
Patriots-Colts Recent History
New England owns an eight-game winning streak on Indianapolis, stretching back to 2010,
going 5-3 ATS along the way. Most recently, three seasons ago, the Patriots beat the Colts 38-24.
Some guy named Brady quarterbacked New England that day against Andrew Luck for Indy.
NFL Betting Trends
- This season, New England is 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS on the road.
- Home teams are just 88-117 ATS in the NFL this season.
- Favorites are 98-109 ATS in the NFL this season.
Totals Report
The Under is 7-6 in Patriots games this season, which are averaging 42 total points.
The Over is 8-5 in Colts games this season, which are averaging 50 points.
The Under is 112-95 in the NFL this season.
