minnesota-vikings-case-keenum-600

Minnesota Vikings at Cleveland Browns Free Point Spread Pick – Odds

By Rich Crew
Date: 29/10/2017 9:30 am
Location: Twickenham Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Vikings -9.5
Total: 37.5

The NFL goes back across the Atlantic in Week 8 with the Browns listed as the home team taking on the Vikings at Twickenham Stadium in south west London, England. Minnesota opened as a -7.5 point spread favorite and they were bet up as high as 10 points, but have fallen to -9.5 over the struggling Browns. The total for this match on most betting boards is 38 points. Kick off is scheduled for 9:30 AM EDT.

Minnesota won their 3rd-straight game with a 24-16 victory over Baltimore last Sunday. QB Case Keenum was 20-31 for 188 yards. He threw an interception but wasn’t sacked on the day. RB Latavius Murray ran for 113 yards on 18 carries and scored a TD. As a team the Vikings ran for 169 yards. The defense had a big game as they held the Ravens to 144 passing yards and added 5 sacks, 2 by DE Eversen Griffin. They also limited Baltimore to 64 rushing yards on 20 attempts.

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Cleveland remained winless with a 12-9 OT loss to Tennessee last week. Rookie QB DeShone Kizer started and was 12-20 for 114 yards and 2 interceptions before being replaced by QB Cody Kessler (10-19, 121 yards, 1 pick, and 2 sacks). The running game continued to struggle (26-66) and LT Joe Thomas was lost to an arm injury, ending his streak of consecutive snaps at 10,363. The defense played well, holding the Titans to 80 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 189 passing yards. They recovered a fumble and had 2 sacks including one by rookie DE Myles Garrett.

Last Matchup 2013 – Vikings 31-27

Trends to Consider

  • Minnesota is 8-0 ATS before their bye week, since 2009.
  • The Vikings are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 encounters with AFC opponents.
  • Cleveland is 4-40 SU and 14-30 ATS in their last 44 games.
  • The Browns have produced 4 overs and 11 UNDERs in their past 15 games.

Injury Report

Vikings: Minnesota QB Sam Bradford remains out. The offensive line has some issues with LG Nick Easton missing the last two games and his back-up Jeremiah Sirles hurt in the Vik’s last game. Starting LT Riley Reiff also left the Ravens game and didn’t return, but early reports are that all three have a good chance to play this week. Browns: Cleveland is beat on defense. Promising rookie DE Myles Garrett is doubtful with a concussion and starting CB Jason McCourty and starting S Jabrill Peppers did not practice and may be iffy for this week.

Public Money

The Vikings are taking a bit more wagering action than the Browns, with 53% of the point spread bets landing on that side of the line. The total has shown a small edge to the over with 51% of the public money.

Vikings at Browns Week 8 Prediction

With the way that the Vikings are playing defense right now, my first thought was to play the UNDER. However, the Browns are beat up on defense and they allowed three of their last five opponents to surpass 30 points in better health. Add in that Cleveland QB Deshone Kizer has thrown 11 interceptions this year and the total number may be too low. What does look appealing is the point spread line. Sure, it’s huge needing a winning margin of a converted touchdown plus a field goal to get the money, but the Browns have been beaten soundly by the Ravens (24-10), Bengals (31-7) and the Texans (33-16). The main thing that those three teams have in common is the ability to play defense.

Free Pick: Take the Minnesota Vikings -9.5 (RC)
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