Jared Goff Detroit Lions

Lions vs. Saints Point Spread Pick Week 13

By Statinator
Date: 03/12/2023 10:00 pm
Location: Little Caesars Arena
TV: Fox

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Lions -4.5
Moneyline: Lions -220, Saints +180
Total: 47.5

Last 5 Games

Detroit Lions

The Lions lost to the Green Bay Packers 22-29 in their most recent game. They did not cover the spread as 8.5-point favorites, and the total went over 47. The Lions have to cover in their last two and are jsut 2-4 ATS in their last five. The Over has been to way to playu the total with three oout of the last five cashing.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints were defeated by the Atlanta Falcons 15-24 in their last game. They were 2-point favorites but failed to cover the spread, and the total went under 42. The Saints racked up 444 total yards in the match, but managed only 15 points for their second Under in their L5.The point spread loss was their third straight and fourth in L%.

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Power Stats

Yards Per Point

Detroit Lions: Offense 15.17, Defense 13.6
New Orleans Saints: Offense 16.67, Defense 15.87
Advantage: Lions are more efficient on both sides of the ball.

Yards Per Pass

Detroit Lions: Offense 10.74, Defense 10.56
New Orleans Saints: Offense 9.82, Defense 10.23
Advantage: Lions have a better passing offense and defense.

Yards Per Rush

Detroit Lions: Offense 4.59, Defense 3.86
New Orleans Saints: Offense 3.76, Defense 4.47
Advantage: Lions excel in rushing efficiency, both offensively and defensively.

Top 4 Reasons Why Detroit Will Win and Cover

Strong Offensive Play: The Lions have been prolific offensively, especially in the passing game, which could exploit the Saints’ weaker pass defense.
Saints’ WR Injuries: With the Saints missing key receivers like Rashid Shaheed and Michael Thomas, their offensive output might be significantly hampered.
Lions’ Defensive Efficiency: Detroit’s defense has shown better efficiency in yards allowed per point, potentially stifling the Saints’ scoring opportunities.
Better Overall Form: Detroit’s overall form this season has been stronger than New Orleans’, as seen in their better ATS record and offensive stats.

Betting Trends

Detroit Lions

Strong ATS record (7-4), showing better-than-expected performances.
Impressive SU record (8-3), indicating a strong overall team performance.
The tendency for games to go over, with a 7-4 OU record.

New Orleans Saints

  • Struggling ATS (2-8-1), often failing to meet expectations.
  • SU record (5-6) shows inconsistencies in their gameplay.
  • Majority of their games have gone under the total.

Detroit at New Orleans Free Pick ATS

Considering these factors and the Lions’ dynamic offense against a Saints team missing key offensive weapons, Detroit is well-positioned to not only win but also cover the spread. Take the Lions -4.5.

Free Pick: Take the Lions -4.5
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