The two-time defending AFC champion Chiefs are only 3-3 on the season, heading into this big AFC battle with the 4-2 Titans in Nashville Sunday afternoon. Kansas City also trailed at the half last week at Washington before waking up and avoiding an upset. Tennessee, meanwhile, pulled an upset last week, outlasting Buffalo on Monday night. But might that set them up for a let-down this week? The Chiefs are favored here by better than a field goal, which seems like a bit too much. How are we playing this game with our free NFL betting pick (Get more)?
NFL Betting Lines
The Week 7 NFL betting odds opened the Chiefs as four-point road favorites for this game, with an over/under of right around 56. Early betting action then bumped KC to -4.5, and that total to 57.5.
Chiefs Betting Preview
Kansas City got back to .500 on the season last week with a 31-13 win at Washington. The Chiefs actually trailed at the half last week 13-10 but won the second half 21-0 for the victory and the cover as six-point favorites. KC out-gained Washington 499-276, and while it lost the turnover battle 3-2, it also won the time of possession by a 34:26 split. So the Chiefs have now out-gained and out-rushed three of their last four opponents. However, this season, Kansas City also owns a -8 turnover ratio, which ranks second-worst in the League. At 3-3 overall, the Chiefs trail the Chargers and Raiders by one game in the AFC West.
Titans Betting Preview
Tennessee, meanwhile, is 4-2 on the season after rallying to beat Buffalo Monday night 34-31. The Titans spotted the high-powered Bills the first six points of the game and trailed 20-17 at the half. Tennessee later trailed 31-24 in the fourth quarter but scored the last 10 points of the game to steal the victory. In the end, the Titans got lucky, really, when Buffalo QB Allen lost his footing on a fourth down at the Tennessee 3-yard line, as the Bills appeared ready to go ahead in the last 20 seconds. The Titans got out-gained by Buffalo 417-362, and 76 of Tennessee’s yards came on one long Derrick Henry touchdown run. Tennessee also lost time of possession by a 33:27 split. Basically, the Titans should have lost that game. Tennessee has now out-gained three of its six opponents this season and out-rushed four of its six foes. At 4-2 overall, the Titans lead the AFC South by two games over second-place Indianapolis.
Chiefs-Titans Recent History
Tennessee beat Kansas City four times in a row from 2014-19, but the Chiefs then beat the Titans in the AFC championship game two seasons ago 35-24.
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NFL Betting Trends
- Home teams are just 42-50 SU, 38-54 ATS in the NFL this season.
- Favorites are 59-36 SU, 44-51 ATS in the NFL this season.
- Home dogs are 10-27 SU, 16-21 ATS in the NFL this season.
Totals Report
Overs are 4-2 in Chiefs games this season, which are averaging 60 total points. Overs are also 4-2 in Titans games, which are averaging 55 points. The Under is 51-42 in the NFL this season.
