Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville Jags

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New Orleans Saints Free Pick ATS

By Darin Zank
Date: 19/10/2023 8:15 pm
Location: Caesar’s Arena
TV: Fox

Betting Odds



Point Spread: New Orleans -1
Moneyline: Jac -105/NO -115
Total: 39.5

This week’s edition of Thursday night NFL betting action gives us an interesting inter-conference bout to play with as the Jaguars dance with the Saints at the Superdome.

Jacksonville owns a three-game winning streak while New Orleans is 1-3 its last four times out.

NFL Betting Lines

The Week 7 NFL betting market opened New Orleans as a three-point favorite for Thursday night, with an over/under of right around 39. Early betting action then shaved that spread down to -1.5.

Jaguars-Saints NFL Betting Preview

Jacksonville rides a three-game winning streak into Thursday night after beating Indianapolis last Sunday 37-20.

Jacksonville actually got out-gained by Indianapolis 354-233 but won the turnover battle 4-1, creating a +17 points differential.

With about 48 hours to go before kick-off, the Jags were listing QB Trevor Lawrence, who tweaked a knee last Sunday, and two starters along the offensive line as questionable for Thursday night. Bettors might want to consult later reports before getting down on this game.

New Orleans is trying to bounce back this week after falling at Houston last week 20-13. The Saints actually out-gained Houston 430-297, but late offensive failures cost them.

The Saints opened this season with wins over Tennessee and Carolina, then blew a game against Green Bay. The Saints then blanked New England 34-0 before losing last week.

Jaguars-Saints History

These two teams last met four seasons ago, a rousing 13-6 Saints win at Jacksonville.

Totals Report

The totals are split 3-3 in Jaguars games this season, which are averaging 44 total points.

The unders are 6-0 in Saints games, which are averaging 34 points.

After going 13-2 last week, the unders are 56-37 in the NFL this season.

Jaguars vs Saints NFL Pick

If Lawrence can’t go here, it will be seven-year journeyman CJ Beathard at QB for Jacksonville, but our guess is he’ll play.

The Jaguars seem to be rounding into shape, with three straight victories, while New Orleans is hard to figure. Will we see the Saints who pounded the Patriots or the Saints who whiffed against Tampa Bay?

Also, Jacksonville is out-rushing opponents by 38 YPG while New Orleans comes in at +0. And teams that win the ground battles in the NFL cover the spread about 65 percent of the time. We like the Jags for Thursday night.

Free Pick: Take the Jags +1
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