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Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans Point Spread Pick

By David Schwab
Date: 27/10/2016 8:25 pm
Location: Nissan Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Tennessee -3.5
Total: 44

The Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tennessee Titans kick off Week 8 in the NFL with a prime time AFC South showdown on Thursday Night Football. Game time for this division tilt is slated for 8:30 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on the NFL Network.

Jacksonville at Tennessee Game Overview

All the hype surrounding the Jaguars heading into this season has already been tempered with a shaky 2-4 straight-up start. This past Sunday they got pushed around in a 33-16 loss to Oakland as two-point home favorites. Give credit to Jacksonville for playing teams such as Green Bay and Baltimore tough as a home underdog to help produce a 4-2 record against the spread. The total has gone OVER in four of its first six games.

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Blake Bortles was one of the biggest reasons for such high optimism this season heading into his third season at quarterback and while he has thrown for 1,567 yards and nine touchdowns, he has also been picked off nine times. Pro Bowl wide receiver Allen Robinson has also taken a step backwards this season with just 26 receptions for 296 yards. The Jaguars were able to fill some holes on their defense this past offseason, but this unit is still ranked 26th in the NFL in points allowed (26.7).

The Titans come into this AFC South tilt at 3-4 SU (2-5 ATS) following last week’s 34-26 loss to Indianapolis as 3.5-point favorites at home. This snapped a two-game SU winning streak that included a win against Miami on the road and Cleveland at home. Tennessee did beat Detroit at home 16-15 back in Week 2 as a six-point underdog. The total has gone OVER in its last four games.

Another up and coming quarterback in this league is second-year starter Marcus Mariota and so far this season he has completed 139 of his 226 passing attempts for 1,604 yards and 12 scores against six interceptions. DeMarco Murray has led the Titans’ ground game with 633 yards rushing and five scores on 139 carries. Tennessee is ranked 27th in the league in passing yards, but it moves all the way to third when it comes to running the ball. Defensively, the Titans are allowing an average of 23 points a game and they are ranked 10th in the NFL in yards allowed (338.0).

Jacksonville at Tennessee Game Betting Trends

  • The Jaguars are 2-17 SU in their last 19 road games and they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games played on the road. The total has gone OVER in three of their last five road games.
  • The Titans are 2-15 SU in their last 17 games played at home and they have failed to cover the spread in their last five home games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games at home.
  • Head-to-head in this AFC South tilt, Jacksonville is just 1-4 SU in its last five road games against the Titans, but it has 4-1-1 edge ATS in its last six games on the road against Tennessee. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings overall.

Jacksonville at Tennessee Prediction

Both of these teams have some solid talent on the offensive side of the ball, but neither one has been able to move the ball down the field and score points on a consistent basis. Things could open up this week in a head-to-head matchup although the recent trends on the total line in this division clash point to a low scoring affair.

I would probably lean towards Tennessee at home, but I also think that both teams will have some level of success against the opposing team’s defense to the point where the total goes OVER the current 44-point line on Thursday night.

Free Pick: Take the Over 44
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