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Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Free Pick – Betting Odds

By Rich Crew

In Week 14 action the Houston Texans will battle their divisional rival the Indianapolis Colts on the Turf of Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday. The NFL betting board opened the Colts as a -6 point spread favorite, but bettors have driven the line to -6.5 at most sportsbooks. The total line on this game has fallen to 46.5 from its 47 opener.

Recent Play

The Texans come into this game off of a three game losing streak straight up and versus the betting line after allowing the Packers two 4th quarter touchdowns on route to a 21-13 victory as a 7-point favorite. The total points scored of 34 fell well under the closing line of 44.5 in the snowy game at Lambeau Field.

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The Colts won and covered for the third time in their last four games knocking making easy work of the NY Jets 41-10 on the road at Metlife easily covering the allotted point spread. The 51 points scored slid over the 48.5 O/U line.

Statistically Speaking

Houston’s has scored an average of 17.3 points per game on 316 yards of offense to rank 28th in the league in both metrics. The one bright spot on the offense is their rushing offense that has gained 121.3 yards per game to rank 5th in the NFL. Defensively they have a couple of things going for them ranking 6th in total yards with a strong 5th in passing yards allowed per game.

Indianapolis has the 7th ranked scoring offense putting up an average of 25.9 points per game on the the 14th ranked total yards. They’ve passed for an 11th ranked 259.1 yards per game, but havew struggled to run the ball averaging a 25th ranked 99 yards per game.

Head to Head

The Texans took the earlier match this season 26-23 pushing the game as a three point favorite. Houston won the yardage battle out-yarding the visitor 414 to 392. In last 10 games played in this series the Colts hold the edge in victories with 7 and a strong 6-2-2 record against the point spread. The OVER was the place to be cashing in 6 of the 10 games.

Injury Report

The Texans are dealing with a lengthy list with DE Jadeveon Clowney (elbow) and CB Johnathan Joseph (Ribs) as two key starters that may miss this week’s game.

The Colts also will likely be without some starters on defense. FS Clayton Geathers (concussion) , OLB Robert Mathis (bicep) , CB Patrick Robinson (groin)and back up LB Curt Maggitt (concussion)and DT Zach Kerr (concussion) are not certain to play.

Public Money Consensus

The public has jumped in big time on the Colts with the home squad getting as high as 64% of the action at some of the consensus sites. The total has fallen slightly to 46.5 against Joe Bettor who has 56% of his bets landing on the OVER side of the line.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts Prediction

The Texans rank 5th in pass defense allowing 208.4 yards per game, but they haven’t been as sharp in recent weeks allowing six of their last eight opponents to pass for over 230 yards and they’ve allowed QBs to complete 67.4 percent of their passes over their last five games. Last time these tgwo clubs met Houston racked up a season high 414 yards and the 26 points were only one shy of their season high total of 27. The Colts offense is in top form right now scoring 96 points over the last three games with Luck. WR Donte Moncrief has become a TD machine scoring one in each of his last five games since returning from an injury. The last game meeting resulted in 49 points nad there’s no reason to think that number can’t be matched or surpassed this week.

Free Pick: Take the OVER 46.5.
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