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Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles Lines – Free ATS Pick

By David Schwab
Date: 28/11/2016 8:30 pm
Location: Lincoln Financial Field.
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Philadelphia -3.5
Total: 47.5

The 4-6 Green Bay Packers and the 5-5 Philadelphia Eagles will both be trying to add a much needed game to the win column this Monday night at Lincoln Financial Field . Kickoff for this NFC battle is slated for 8:30 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Green Bay at Philadelphia Game Overview

The Packers’ current slide reached four games with this past Sunday night’s 42-24 loss to Washington as three-point road underdogs. This followed another lopsided loss to Tennessee in which they allowed 47 points in a 22-point beatdown as three-point favorites on the road. Green Bay has now failed to cover in its last three contests to fall to 3-6-1 against the spread. The total has gone OVER in its last four games.

Aaron Rodgers is still one of the best quarterbacks in the league, but when your offensive line is filled with holes and your running game has been plagued with injuries all season long, it really does not matter who is under center on offense. The most disturbing trend with this team is a defense that has given up an average of 38.3 points during this four-game slide. Overall, Green Bay is still 11th in the league in scoring with 24.7 points a game, but it has fallen to 27th in points allowed (27.6)

The growing pains of having a first year head coach and a rookie at quarterback have Philadelphia treading water at an even .500 on the year both SU and ATS. This past Sunday’s 26-15 loss to Seattle as a 6.5-point road underdog was its fifth loss in its last seven games following a promising 3-0 start. The total stayed UNDER 43 in the loss to the Seahawks after going OVER in four of its previous six games. The Eagles return home with a perfect 4-0 record ATS at Lincoln Financial Field this season.

Much was made about Carson Wentz’s first few starts as the Eagles’ new quarterback, but he continues to struggle to play with a high level of consistency over the course of an entire four quarters of a game. He has shown flashes of greatness, but this offense is only ranked 25th in the NFL in passing yards. Philadelphia’s defense has remained solid across the board and heading into this game it is ranked eighth in the league in yards allowed (334.6) and its points-allowed average stands at 18.6.

Green Bay at Philadelphia Game Betting Trend

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The Packers have failed to cover in their last four November games and they have also failed to cover in their last four games in Week 12 of the season. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five road games.

The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven NFC games and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven Week 12 games. The total has gone OVER in 11 of the last 14 conference games.

The favorite in this matchup is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven games between the two.

Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

It is hard to think of Green Bay as a team to consistently go against right now, but its recent play on the field also makes it hard to think that it can turn things around. The Eagles have been a much better team at home this season and they have always been able to rise to the occasion to keep their record from falling below the .500 mark.

I would probably go with the OVER in this game given just how many points the Packers have been giving up lately, but my “best bet” pick is to take Philly at home both SU and ATS. 

Free Pick: Take the OVER 47.5 (DS)
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