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Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Odds and Free Betting Pick

By Keith F

The Green Bay Packers will open up on the road in Week One of the 2016-17 NFL season, as they travel to Florida to square off with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Kick-off is set for 1:00 PM ET and set to air on CBS in regional markets. The Packers come in as runner up for the NFC North finishing 10-6 in 2015. For the Jaguars, things appear to be on the upswing although the Jaguars finished with a record of 5-11 in 2015.

Statistically Green Bay sported one of the most inefficient passing defenses in all of the NFL in 2015. Now Green Bay opens up their season with a very difficult errand. The Packers must handle not just one, but two 1,000 yard receivers that play for the Jaguars. This of course is a reference to both Allen Hurns and Allen Robinson. The dynamic duo have caused fits for many defensive backs and the question remains how the Packers will address the issue and whether or not they can keep up with this potentially explosive attack.

Aaron Rodgers has not appeared like the quarterback that has won MVP honors in previous years. Many proclaim that Rodgers didn’t have his playmaker receivers at full health for a full season. Now with the team rested and recovered, the Packers are not just a NFC North favorite but a potential Super Bowl contender with this comes fanfare and hype that is often unfounded. Bottom line, the Packers are a tough team to bank on until we can confirm that their offense has the same explosiveness we have seen in years past.

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Public Money

A remarkable 82% of the public money is on the Packers spotting nearly a touchdown to the host, Jacksonville. In Moneyline markets, the numbers echo a similar narrative as 88% of the consensus are on the Packers laying substantial juice at -230, opposing the option of taking the Jags at +190. In Over/Under markets, 63% of the public fancies the over at 48 points.

Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars Free Pick

This game can easily blow up in to a shootout and in potential shootout situations, the academic move is to always take the points. In this instance we can take back the home team with nearly a touchdown and we like this situation given the personnel that lies in Jacksonville’s ranks. Many will judge this game from a superficial angle alone, assuming that Green Bay cannot lose to Jacksonville by virtue of their namesakes. The same prognostication was assumed when the Vikings and Packers were jostling for the NFC North in 2015 when Green Bay had Aaron Rodgers and Minnesota had Teddy Bridgewater at the helm, yet the VIkes were the ones to win the division. Green Bay is one of the most prestigious names in the NFL and thus a contrarian approach can be utilized here to fade the public and lay the Packers when they are almost certainly spotting more points than required.

Free Pick: Take Jacksonville +5 - KF
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