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Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Odds – Free Pick

By Keith F
Date: 20/05/2017 9:00 pm
Location: AT&T Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Golden State -6
Total: 212

Western Conference Finals Game Three

The San Antonio Spurs will host the Golden State Warriors as the AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas for Game Three of the Western Conference Finals. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET and set to be aired for national audiences on ESPN. The Spurs find themselves behind the eight ball after falling behind 2-0 when the Warriors rocked the Spurs in Game Two when they were without the services of forward Kawai Leonard and point man Tony Parker.

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Overview

This Warriors are rapidly moving in on what seems to be another sweep against a beleaguered and snake-bitten San Antonio team when they completed a 136-100 victory in Game Two. The Spurs seem to be in position to potentially get back into the series here with two games going back to San Antonio. However, as mentioned the status of Leonard makes this market all the more dubious as his presence on the court is influential in many facets.

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Golden State at San Antonio Key Betting Trends

  • The Spurs enter at 69-27 straight up while owning 49-45-2 record against the spread.
  • As for the Warriors, they come in at an incredible 77-15 straight up while owning a more modest 46-43-3 record against the spread.
  • The Warriors have won 10 straight post-season games.

Public Money Consensus

In the early stages, we have noticed a lean by the public on the Warriors, as 80% of the public are willing to lay the lumber. In Money Line markets, the Warriors are priced as a -240 road favorite compared to the Spurs who are offered as a +199 home pooch. In this scenario, 91% of the public like the Warriors yet again with the juice. In Over/Under markets, the price sits at 212 with 88% of the public favoring the Over.

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Prediction

We are not proponents of playing road chalk but this situation sets up perfectly. Despite by winning by more than 36 points when Golden State was priced as a -13.5 favorite in Game Two. Now, there is a chance that Leonard can return for this game and that nebulous prospect is what is more or less fueling the price. Had Leonard been confirmed to not return, we could expect the price to soar as his absence was clearly a huge deal in Game Two. With this being said, we will not take any chances on San Antonio even if they are at a home and being spotted points. Golden State overall as a team of its caliber and propensity to be overvalued especially in high-profile contests has been non-existent in the playoffs when spotting single-digit points. As a favorite of 9.5 points or less the Warriors are 4-0 ATS. We will go ahead and step in with the public yet again on this one.

Free Pick: Take Golden State -6
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