Justin Fields Chicago Bears

Falcons vs. Bears Expert Pick – Get Crew’s Top Bet

By Rich Crew

The Bears are a small favorite when they host what should be a very motivated Falcons team. The NFL board lists the Bears as a -2.5 spread favorite with a total line of 39. Rich Crew stops by to give out his total play and get some key metrics to consider before making your bet.

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Team Performance and Recent Form

Atlanta Falcons (7-8): Close to .500 record with slight offensive deficit and a concerning ATS record (5-10).

Chicago Bears (6-9): Struggling season with defensive issues, but better ATS performance (7-7-1).

Power Stats

Both teams show similar offensive capabilities with Chicago having a slight edge, but Atlanta leads in yards per point differential.

Smart Chart Analysis

Atlanta has better passing offense and defense stats, but Chicago’s rushing game is stronger.

Head-to-Head and Recent Team Performance

Historically, Chicago has an advantage over Atlanta, especially at home. Recent form shows Atlanta with a slight improvement.

Betting Trends

Atlanta Falcons: Underperforming ATS, especially on the road. The total has gone under in most of their recent games.

Chicago Bears: Mixed results in ATS, but a better record at home. The total has often gone under in their games against Atlanta.

Falcons vs Bears Free Total Pick

This is a tough call on the point spread line with the Bears’ beat up at the wideout position. Starting WR Darnell Mooney is out, and fellow starter DJ Moore might not be at 100% with a high ankle sprain. Defensively they are healthy and should be able to snuff out the Falcons run game. The forecast calls for inclement weather rain, snow and wind around 11 MPH.

Free Pick: Take the Under 38.5
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