Super Bowl LIII between the New England Patriots and the Los Angeles Rams is set for Sunday, Feb. 3 at 6:30 p.m. on CBS. This year’s game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta with the Patriots’ favored by 2.5 points and 5Dimes’ total set at 57.5 points.
5Dimes Early Super Bowl LIII Scoring Props
One of the best ways to add some even more excitement to the action on the field in a Super Bowl is by betting on any number prop bets released in conjunction with the game. While that list will continue to grow as this season’s big game gets closer and closer to kickoff, there is some substantial value to be found in a few early scoring props that have already been posted on the Super Bowl LIII props board.
Which Team Scores First: New England or Los Angeles?
The betting odds that the Patriots score first in Super Bowl LIII are set at -115. The Rams’ betting odds to score first offer a bit more value at -105. This prop could be actually thought of as a toss-up that could hinge on the 50/50 chances of the coin flip.
Each of these teams has shown the ability to score quickly behind an offense that can move the ball down the field through the air and on the ground. Big plays have highlighted both the Patriots and Rams’ offense all season long. Los Angeles would get a slight edge in total scoring with an average of 32.9 points a game, which was second in the league behind Kansas City. New England slid to fifth in scoring with 27.3 PPG.
The Patriots drew first blood against the Chiefs in Sunday’s AFC Championship and actually held the highest scoring team in the league to zero points in the first half. The Rams went down 13-0 against New Orleans in the NFC Championship Game.
All things considered, I am betting that Los Angeles scores the first points in Super Bowl LIII as the better-valued play.
First Score of Super Bowl LIII: Touchdown or Field Goal/Safety?
Betting odds for this particular scoring prop are probably posted on 5Dime’s prop bet board for every NFL game each week of the regular season. In almost every situation, the betting odds favor a touchdown verse a field goal or safety.
In light of the teams involved in Super Bowl LIII, it is not surprising that the betting odds heavily favor a touchdown as the first score at -200 betting odds. The odds that the first score is a field goal or safety are set at +170.
To me, this is the first gift of Super Bowl LIII betting props. Each team has scored its fair share of touchdowns early in the game all season long. However, watching each team play in the postseason points towards defense becoming a much bigger part of Super Bowl LIII as opposed to two teams going up and down the field on one another.
As mentioned, the Patriots’ defense shut down the most potent offense in the league for two quarters its last time out. The Rams forced Drew Brees and the high-powered Saints to settle for field goals in New England’s first two scoring drives in Sunday’s NFC title game.
Betting this prop is all about value. The risk in betting on a touchdown as the first score completely outweighs any value in the bet. With two very capable kickers on each roster, all the value goes towards the +170 odds for a field goal as the first score.
Just as an added interest prop bet, the odds that Super Bowl LIII is decided in overtime the same way both conference championships ended this season heavily favor NO at -1500. Betting that this game ends as a tie in regulation only to be decided in overtime has posted odds of +1000.
