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Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles Week 3 Pick

By Darin Zank
Date: 22/09/2019 1:00 pm
Location: Lincoln Financial Field
TV: Fox

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Eagles -6.5
Moneyline: Eagles -305/Lions +250
Total: 47

Two weeks into this NFL season and the Detroit Lions are undefeated. They’re not perfect, and they haven’t looked all that great, but they haven’t lost yet, heading into a Week 3 bout with the Eagles in Philadelphia. The Lions are getting a touchdown here, against an Eagles outfit that hasn’t covered a spread yet this year. Who do we like for our free NFL pick?

NFL Betting Odds

Week 3’s NFL betting odds opened Philly at -7 over Detroit, with an over/under of right around 49. Early betting action then dipped the Eagles to -6.5 and that total to 47.

Lions vs. Eagles Set-Up

Detroit comes in at 1-1 on the season, after upsetting the Chargers at home last week 13-10. The Lions spotted Los Angeles the first touchdown of the game and trailed 10-6 through three quarters. But they took the lead on a Matt Stafford-Kenny Golladay touchdown connection midway through the fourth and held on from there for the outright victory as one-point home dogs.

On the day Detroit got out-gained by the Chargers 424-339, out-rushed 137-94, missed an extra point and a field goal and turned the ball over twice in LA territory. But the Lions also benefited from several Chargers mistakes, including a lost fumble at the Detroit 1-yard line, two touchdowns negated by a penalty, two missed field goals and a crucial, late Philip Rivers interception.

Detroit opened its season with a 27-27 tie, out in Arizona. The Lions led that game 24-6 early in the fourth quarter but let the Cardinals rally and almost lost it, before settling for a sister-kisser.

More NFL Picks: Get all of our ATS game predictions, Moneyline Picks, Point Spread Picks (Favorites), and Point Spread Picks (Underdogs).

Philly, meanwhile, sits at 1-1 this season, after falling at Atlanta Sunday night 24-20. The Eagles trailed the Falcons 17-6 early in the fourth quarter, rallied to take a 20-17 lead with three minutes left but gave up a long Julio Jones catch-and-run touchdown on a fourth down to fall again. Philadelphia then drove last-gasp inside the Atlanta red zone but came up short on a fourth-down of its own.

On the night the Eagles got out-gained by the Falcons 367-286, managed just 49 yards on the ground, and while they held a 33/27 advantage in time of possession they also turned the ball over three times.

Philadelphia opened its season with a 32-27 win over Washington. The Eagles fell behind to the Redskins 17-0 in the second quarter but used a 32-3 run spanning the halves to take control. Unfortunately for its financial backers Philly gave up a Washington score with just six seconds left on the clock and missed on the cover as a 10-point favorite.

Detroit actually leads the recent series with Philadelphia, winning three of four meetings from 2012-16. But 2016 already seems like a long time ago, especially when it comes to the Eagles.

On the injury front Philadelphia is banged up on offense; wide receivers Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson and running back Corey Clement are all either out or very questionable for this game.

NFL Betting Trends

  • Detroit is 10-8 ATS under Coach Patricia, including 6-3 ATS on the road.
  • Philadelphia is 24-25-1 ATS (regular season) under Coach Pederson, but 13-10-1 ATS at home.
  • Favorites on the NFL betting lines are 20-11-1 SU but only 13-18-1 ATS so far this season.
  • Home teams are just 15-16-1 SU, 10-21-1 ATS so far this NFL season.

Totals Report

Totals are split 1-1 in Lions games this season, which have averaged 39 total points.

Totals are split 1-1 in Eagles games this season, which have averaged 52 points.

After going 13-3 last week, unders are 20-12 so far this NFL season.

Lions vs. Eagles Prediction 9/22/19

Philly is not the team it was when it won the Super Bowl a couple of years ago, especially with those injuries on offense. In fact, Detroit probably owns the better running game at the moment and might own the better defense. We’re taking the Lions and the points here for our free NFL pick.

 

Free Pick: Take the Lions plus the points!
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