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Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles Free Point Spread – Odds – ATS Prediction

By Jeff Scott
Date: 05/11/2017 1:00 pm
Location: Lincoln Financial Field
TV: CBS Sports

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Eagles -9
Total: 43.5

Denver lost 29-19 to Kansas City on Monday night. Philadelphia won their 6th-straight game last Sunday with a 33-10 victory over winless San Francisco.

The Broncos have scored just 29 points in their last 3 games (all losses) so they will turn to QB Brock Osweiler this week. Osweiler experienced some success with Denver in the 2015 season before a nightmarish 2016 with Houston. Philadelphia allows 257 passing ypg but to be fair, a lot of those yards have been given up in garbage time. WR Emmanuel Sanders (check status) has battled injuries in recent weeks and his presence would give Osweiler a better chance at success. The Eagles defense has 22 sacks on the year while the Broncos have given up 25. Denver’s ground game has sputtered in recent weeks while Philly leads the NFL in run defense, giving up only 70.4 ypg.

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Eagles QB Carson Wentz has thrust himself into MVP consideration with his stellar play in 2017. He has a 19-5 TD/INT ratio and is the team’s 2nd-leading rusher. TE Zach Ertz is his top target and while Denver’s pass defense has been elite again, they have had their issues covering TEs this year. WRs Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor have also contributed with some big plays in the passing game. In fact, no less than 5 players have caught at least one 53-yard pass. Wentz has been sacked 22 times this season and the loss of LT Jason Peters certainly doesn’t help. RB LeGarrette Blount is averaging 4.7 ypc and Philadelphia added RB Jay Ajayi in a trade this week. Denver’s run defense, like Philadelphia’s, has been great this season (73 ypg) but they’ll have their hands full with this diversified backfield.

Public Money Consensus

In this NFL matchup between Denver and Philadelphia have the Public heavily betting on the Eagles to cover the 9 points with over 80%. The over/under bettors are less positive but are leaning to this game going over the posted total line of 43.5 with 56% on board with this thinking.

Denver Broncos at Philadelphia Eagles Week 9 Prediction

All but one of the Eagles games has produced at least 43 points and the one that didn’t finished in a 34-7 Eagles victory. The Broncos have been plagued by costly TOs (something Osweiler is familiar with in his career) and I look for the Eagles to make some big plays off of TOs. Wentz is playing terrific football and I think Denver can get some points via their passing game. The number is barely above 6 converted TDs and I expect this game to go over the number.

Free Pick: Take the Over 43.5
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