It’s a potential Super Bowl preview when the two-time defending AFC champion Chiefs host the resurgent Cowboys Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead. Dallas is already closing in on clinching a division title, while Kansas City, after struggling through a 2-4 stretch, now owns a three-game winning streak and a divisional lead.
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Dallas-Kansas City NFL Betting Lines
The Week 11 NFL betting odds opened the Chiefs as two-point favorites over the Cowboys, with an over/under of right around 53. Early betting action then edged KC to -2.5 and goosed that total to 56.
Cowboys Betting Preview
Dallas just bounced back from that dismal home defeat to Denver two weeks ago to bomb Atlan-ta last week 43-3. The Cowboys drove the game’s opening possession 73 yards to a touchdown, let the Falcons kick a field goal, then scored the last 36 points for the easy win and cover as eight-point favorites.
Dallas out-gained Atlanta 431-214, dominated time of possession by a 38:22 split, won the turn-over battle 3-1, and scored a touchdown on a blocked punt.
So the Cowboys have now out-gained eight of their nine opponents this season and out-rushed seven of their nine foes.
Two weeks ago, Dallas laid a huge egg in a 30-16 loss to the Broncos. But prior to that, the Cowboys won seven games in a row.
At 7-2 overall Dallas leads the NFC East by 3.5 games over second-place Philadelphia and trails Green Bay and Arizona by just a half-game in the battle for the best record in the NFC.
Chiefs Betting Preview
Kansas City, meanwhile, rides a three-game winning streak into Sunday after routing the Raiders in Las Vegas last week 41-14. The Chiefs drew first blood with a touchdown late in the first quarter, let the Raiders tie the game five minutes later but led 17-7 at the half. KC then allowed Vegas to get within 17-14 early in the second half but scored the last 24 points of the game to secure the victory and the cover as a 2.5-point favorite.
Kansas City out-gained the Raiders 516-299, held a 35:25 time of possession advantage, and won the turnover battle 2-1.
Still, the Chiefs have only out-gained and out-rushed five of their ten opponents this season.
Two weeks ago, KC beat the Aaron Rodgers-less Packers 13-7, even though it was held to just 237 yards of total offense. And three weeks ago, the Chiefs needed a field goal with a minute to go to beat the 3-6 Giants 20-17.
At 6-4 overall, Kansas City leads the AFC West by a half-game over both the Chargers and Raiders. The Chiefs also sit in the No. 4 spot in the AFC playoff standings, two games and a tie-breaker behind top-seeded Tennessee.
These two teams last met four seasons ago, a 28-17 Cowboys home victory. But that was a coach ago for Dallas and a quarterback ago for KC.
- Get more details: Dallas at Kansas City 11/21/21 Betting Stats
NFL Betting Trends
- Home teams are just 71-76 SU, 61-86 ATS in the NFL this season.
- Favorites are 89-60 SU but just 64-85 ATS in the NFL this season.
Week 11 Picks: WFT/CAR Week Pick Against the Spread
Totals Report
Overs are 5-4 in Cowboys games this season, which are averaging 53 total points.
Totals are split 5-5 in Chiefs games this season, which are averaging 50 points.
The Under is 83-66 in the NFL this season.
