Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills NFL Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction
Location: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Point Spread: Buffalo -10
The winless Cleveland Browns (0-13) will travel to Ralph Wilson Stadium in Buffalo, New York to square off with the Buffalo Bills who enter at 6-7. The Browns come in off yet another thrashing at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals, last Sunday. Similarly the Bills come in off considerable defeat where the Bills were soundly defeated at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The contest will be aired on CBS for regional audiences. Kick-off is slated for 1:00 PM ET. For Buffalo a loss here puts them out of wildcard contention. Contrarily, the Browns are looking for their first win to avoid achieving the record set by the Detroit Lions of going 0-16.
Public Money Consensus
88% of the public like the Bills as opposed to spotting the point to the Browns. At the spread, Buffalo comes in at -115 laying the points as opposed to taking the points with Cleveland at -105. On the Money Line, Buffalo is a -450 home favorite while the Browns come in as a +355 road pooch. A remarkable 99% of the public are sitting on the Bills on the Money Line as a heavy home favorite despite their loss last week. Currently in Over/Under markets, the Over/Under is sitting at 41.5 with 94% of the public liking the Under. This market has dropped by 2.5 points since the open.
Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills Prediction
From the onset, the early action on the BIlls, is almost a platitude of Cleveland’s abysmal campaign. This is assuredly an overreaction to what was witnessed last week with Cleveland being pummeled yet again. However, in spite of the Bills getting buried in the snow on their own field by Pittsburgh, this team is spotting over double-digit points and summarily the public has more trust in this situation even with enhanced juice. Very rarely do we get an opportunity to lay a team that continues to lose, take back a significant amount of points and do so at a cheaper price. Sure, Cleveland may be 0-10 ATS in their last ten matches up but the Bills are 1-7 ATS in their last eight, failing to cover in three consecutive games as well. On another note, we see here 99% of the public liking the Bills outright on the Money Line. Considering the price here and the notion it is free money, do not be surprised if the Browns crush everyone’s bankroll here and pull off their first win. We have seen a similar narrative taken shape in the Over/Under market where the Under seems to be the trendy play. Let us remind everyone that the Browns and Bills have two of the worst defenses in all of the NFL. As maligned as their offenses are, their defenses will likely provide concessions in what will likely be a shootout contrary to popular belief.
Free Pick: Take Cleveland +10 (-105) and Over 41
