The Patriots just won back-to-back games with their third-string quarterback, while the Bears are still struggling with their first-stringer, heading into this week’s edition of NFL Monday night football betting action. The betting on this game opened with New England favored by a touchdown, and early action pushed that spread even higher. How are we playing this game with our free Monday Night Football pick?
NFL Betting Lines
The Week 7 NFL betting odds opened New England as a seven-point favorite for Monday night, with an over/under of right around 39. Early betting action then bumped the Patriots to -7.5 and all way up to 9 on Saturday while the total has hit 40.
Bears-Patriots NFL Betting Preview
Chicago lugs a three-game losing skid into Monday night after falling at home to Washington last Thursday 12-7. The Bears trailed the Commanders 3-0 at the half but scored the first seven points of the second half and led 7-6 midway through the fourth quarter. But a muffed punt led to a Washington touchdown. Chicago then drove late to the Commanders’ 5-yard line, but four plays came up inches short of the goal line in another losing performance. The Bears out-gained Washington 392-214, ran the ball for 237 yards and won the time of possession by a 32:28 split. But Chicago came up completely scoreless on three 1st-and-goal situations inside the Commanders’ 10-yard line, which cost them the game. Two weeks ago, Chicago fell down to Minnesota 21-3, rallied to take the lead in the fourth quarter but lost 29-22. Three weeks ago, the Bears managed just four field goals in a 20-12 loss to the Giants. Chicago’s also been out-gained and out-rushed by four of its six opponents this season. At 2-4 overall, the Bears are already three games behind first-place Minnesota in the NFC North. New England, meanwhile, is 3-3 on the season after winning at Cleveland last Sunday 38-15. The Patriots, with rookie Bailey Zappe playing QB in place of the injured Mac Jones, scored the first three points of the game and led 10-6 at the half. New England then scored the first 14 points of the second half to go up three scores and later tacked on a couple of touchdowns to secure the victory. The Patriots out-gained the Browns 399-328, held the Cleveland ground game, one of the best in the League, to just 70 yards, dominated time of possession by a 35:25 split, and won the turnover battle 4-1, creating a +17 points differential. Two weeks ago, New England blanked Detroit 29-0. So the Patriots are 2-0 in both SU and ATS, with Zappe as the starter. The Patriots also nearly beat Green Bay when he relieved injured backup Brian Hoyer three weeks ago. New England has also out-gained four of its last five opponents and out-rushed four of its six foes this season. At 3-3 overall, the Patriots bring up the rear in the AFC East even though they own the second-best points differential in the division.
Bears-Patriots Recent History
These teams don’t meet too often, just 13 times overall, most notably in that Chicago Super Bowl romp back in 1986. Since then, New England is 8-1 against the Bears. Most recently, four seasons ago, the Patriots won a crazy game at Chicago 38-31. Some guy named Brady threw three touchdown passes that day for New England, while Mitch Trubisky accounted for three scores for the Bears. Neither of those guys will play a part in Foxboro Monday night.
- Get more details: Chciago at New England Week 7 Betting Stats
NFL Betting Trends
Home teams are 50-42 SU and 45-45 ATS in the NFL this season. Favorites are 57-37 SU and 40-51 ATS in the NFL this season.
Totals Report
- The Unders are 4-2 in Bears games this season, averaging 35 total points.
- The Totals are split 3-3 in Patriots games this season, which are averaging 42 points.
- The Unders are 58-36 in the NFL this season (62 percent). But that sounds like a trend due for a correction.
