Mike Evans Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Bucs Total Pick for Week 13

By Statinator
Date: 03/12/2023 4:05 pm
Location: Raymond James Stadium
TV: Fox

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Bucs -3.5
Moneyline: Panthers +160, Buccaneers -180
Total: 36.5

Last Game

Carolina Panthers

The Panthers lost 10-17 to the Tennessee Titans. They were 3.5-point underdogs and did not cover the spread, with the total going under 36.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers were defeated 20-27 by the Indianapolis Colts. They did not cover the spread as 2.5-point underdogs, and the total went over 45.

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Power Stats

Yards Per Point

Carolina Panthers: Offense 16.9, Defense 11.47
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Offense 15.78, Defense 17.62
Advantage: Panthers have a higher offensive differential, but Buccaneers are stronger defensively.

Yards Per Pass

Carolina Panthers: Offense 7.59, Defense 9.36
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Offense 9.96, Defense 10.91
Advantage: Buccaneers have a better passing game, but their pass defense is weaker.

Yards Per Rush

Carolina Panthers: Offense 3.82, Defense 4.21
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Offense 3.35, Defense 3.94
Advantage: Panthers have a slight edge in the rushing game.

Top 5 Reasons This Game Could Go Under the Total

Carolina’s Scoring Struggles: The Panthers have consistently failed to score more than 15 points in their last five games.
Tampa Bay’s Defensive Performance: Against teams with weaker passing offenses, the Buccaneers have allowed 20 or fewer points.
Weak Panthers Passing Offense: Carolina ranks near the bottom of the league in passing yards and yards per pass attempt.
Tampa Bay’s Pass Defense: Despite their poor rankings in pass defense, they are facing a Panthers offense that is not known for its passing strength.
Low Scoring Trends: Both teams have shown a tendency for games to go under, with the Panthers particularly struggling to put up high numbers.

Betting Trends

Carolina Panthers

  • Poor ATS record (2-8-1), struggling to meet expectations.
  • Very weak SU record (1-10), indicating overall team struggles.
  • Majority of their games have gone under the total.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Decent ATS record (7-4), often outperforming expectations.
  • SU record (4-7) reflects a challenging season.
  • Most of their games have also gone under the total.

Panthers at Buccaneers Free NFL Total Pick

Given the Panthers’ offensive struggles and the Buccaneers’ ability to contain teams with weaker passing attacks, this matchup has strong potential to go under the total.

Free Pick: Take the Under 36.5
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