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Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks Lines – Free NFL Pick

By David Schwab
Date: 07/11/2016 8:30 pm
Location: CenturyLink Field
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: -7
Total: 44

Monday night’s matchup in Week 9 of the NFL season pits the 4-4 Buffalo Bills on the road against the 4-2-1 Seattle Seahawks in an inter-conference clash at CenturyLink Field. Game time is set for 8:30 p.m. (ET) and this contest will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Buffalo at Seattle Game Overview

Buffalo is coming off back-to-back losses to Miami on the road and New England at home in its last two games both straight-up and against the spread. It is now an even 4-4 on the year both ways and with the total going OVER 48 points in last Sunday’s 41-25 loss against the Patriots as 5.5-point underdogs, it has gone OVER in the Bills’ last four games. They come into this game with a SU 2-6 record in their last eight road games while going 2-5-1 ATS.

The Bills took a hit last week with the loss of running back LeSean McCoy. He has been the driving force on an offense that is ranked second in the NFL in rushing yards per games (154.1). His status for Monday night remains questionable and in his absence against New England they turned to Mike Gillislee as the lead back. On the other side of the ball, Buffalo is ranked 25th in the league at stopping the run, but it improves to 13th in points allowed (21.5).

The Seahawks are also coming off a loss after falling to New Orleans 25-20 last Sunday as one-point road favorites. This followed a rare tie against Arizona in which they scored just six points as 1.5-point underdogs on the road. The total stayed UNDER in both of those games after going OVER in three previous outings. Seattle returns home where it is 6-1 SU in its last seven games at CenturyLink Field, but it still stands at 3-6 ATS in its last nine games overall.

With a combined 26 points in their last two games, the Seahawks are now 29th in the league in scoring with just 18.7 points a game. This offense has sunk to 28th in rushing yards in the absence of Thomas Rawls, who remains out indefinitely with a leg injury. Quarterback Russell Wilson has thrown for 1,812 yards and five touchdowns while battling a number of minor injuries of his own. Seattle’s defense continues to carry this team with a points-allowed average of 15.6 points a game.

Buffalo at Seattle Game Betting Trends

The Bills are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five Monday night games. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 road games against a team with a SU winning record at home.

The Seahawks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on Monday night and they have covered in their last four games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in their last five Monday night games.

Buffalo has covered ATS in four of the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last four meetings in Seattle.

Buffalo Bills at Seattle Seahawks Prediction

Buffalo’s weaknesses on both sides of the ball have been exposed in its last two games and without McCoy in the backfield its biggest strength has been greatly diminished. I have been saying that the Seahawks are one of the most overrated teams in the NFL and they proved me right in their last two games.

 

I would have to lean towards the Seattle getting the SU win on its home field, but when it comes to betting on this game I am going with the UNDER on the current 44-point total line.

 

 

 

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 44 (DS)
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