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Keenan Allen LA Chargers

Bills vs. Chargers: Week 16 Best Bet

By Rich Crew
Date: 23/12/2023 8:20 pm
Location: SoFi Stadium
TV: NBC Sports

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Buffalo -12
Moneyline: Buffalo -750 to -800, LA Chargers +504 to +550
Total: 44.2

Team Performance and Recent Form

Buffalo Bills (8-6): Strong overall with an offensive edge, but with ATS and road game vulnerabilities.

LA Chargers (5-9): Struggling overall and ATS, with historical success against Buffalo.

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Power Stats

Buffalo leads in offensive efficiency and has a stronger defense, particularly against the pass.

Key Insights

  • Buffalo’s rushing could exploit LA Chargers’ weaker rush defense.
  • LA Chargers have a historical advantage against Buffalo.
  • Turnover differential slightly favors the Chargers.

Betting Trends

Buffalo Bills: Inconsistent ATS, tendency towards the under, and struggling ATS on the road.

LA Chargers: Poor recent form SU and ATS, with a tendency towards the under and historical ATS strength against Buffalo.

Head-to-Head

The Chargers have a favorable SU record against Buffalo, especially at home, with a trend towards the over.

Team Last 5 Games Analysis

Buffalo Bills: Mixed results with strong offense.

LA Chargers: Recent heavy loss and inconsistent performance.

Rich Crew's Pick

The Bills are favored, with key advantages on both sides of the ball. However, Buffalo’s road performance this season and the possibility of a spirited performance from the Chargers with a new coach have me skipping the spread bet. The total is where my money is landing. The Bills’ defense has looked better of late after getting some of their injured players back, and the remaining fill-ins are starting to gel. The LAC receiving corps is decimated, and Easton Stick is a huge step down from Justin Herbert.

Free Pick: Take the Under 44.5
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