Round 2 of this season’s NFL playoffs brings a whole new round of special betting props from Bovada as one of the top online sportsbooks for betting the games.
One of last weekend’s best bets was on the +1500 odds that two of the four games would go to overtime. Going through this week’s list, the following three props offer the best value in the posted odds.
NFL Divisional Round Special Props
Team With Most Points
The odds for this prop favor the Kansas City Chiefs at +220 as 9.5-point home favorites against Houston on Sunday afternoon. The Baltimore Ravens are a close second at +225 for Saturday night’s matchup against Tennessee as nine-point favorites at home.
The best odds to score the most points in the two NFC games are +600 for both San Francisco as a seven-point home favorite against Minnesota in Saturday’s opener and Green Bay in Sunday night’s finale as a four-point home favorite against Seattle.
I am going chalk in this with Kansas City against a very suspect Houston defense. It also helps that this matchup has the highest total line of the four divisional games at 51 points.
Conference With Most Points
With the top two favorites in the first prop from the AFC, the lean in this prop is the AFC (-5 points) at -130. The odds for the NFC (+5 points) scoring the most points are -110.
If the Ravens and the Chiefs just reach their season average, this would add up to 61 points. Houston should reach at least 20 points, and I will conservatively give Tennessee 17 points for a total of 98 points.
San Francisco has the highest scoring average in the NFC at 29.9 points, and it should end up with no more than 31 total points. Minnesota could struggle to reach 17 points in that game. The Packers and Seahawks’ game could easily turn into a grinder on Sunday night in Green Bay with one team scoring 24 points and the other 17. Adding the four totals, the NFC should score no more than 89 points
That tips the scale in favor of the AFC minus the five points.
Quarterback With Most Passing Yards
Last weekend, New Orleans’ Drew Brees was the +150 favorite for this prop, but Seattle’s Russell Wilson cashed in big at +500 with 325 total passing yards.
The odds this week favor Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes at +125. San Francisco’s Jimmy Garoppolo and Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers are next at +550. Wilson jumps to +600, followed by Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins at +650 odds.
Rounding out the eight-player field is Ryan Tannehill (Tennessee) +800, Deshaun Watson (Houston) +900, and Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson at +1400.
You already know that Kansas City is going to be throwing the ball early and often. Of the eight remaining playoff teams, the Chiefs posted to most passing yards in the regular season for an average of 281.1 yards a game.
San Francisco is next on this eight-team list with 237.0 passing yards per game. Seattle and Houston were close to that average, and the Packers’ averaged 233.3 yards. Tennessee (223.9), Minnesota (220.2), and Baltimore (201.6) round out this list.
Putting two and two together with excellent value in Mahomes’ +125 odds, the top value pick for this prop is rather apparent.
