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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints NFL Picks – Odds and Predictions

By Rich Crew
Date: 24/12/2017 1:00 pm
Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
TV: CBS Sports

Betting Odds



Point Spread: New Orleans -5.5
Total: 52

The Falcons head to New Orleans to take on the Saints in Week 16 action at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The linesmakers hav New Orleans as a 5 to 5.5 point spread favorite with the total line on most board at 52 points.

Trends to Consider

  • Atlanta is 9-1 ATS following an appearance on Monday night.
  • The Falcons are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.
  • New Orleans is 2-7 ATS at home following a double-digit SU win.
  • The Saints have recorded 7 overs and 3 unders in their last 10 home games.

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Atlanta kept their division title hopes alive with a 24-21 win over Tampa Bay on Monday night. QB Matt Ryan finished 17-31 for 212 yards and a TD. He was sacked once. RB Devonta Freeman rushed for 126 yards on 22 carries and scored a TD. The Falcons gained 201 yards as a team on the ground. Freeman also led the team with 5 catches and 68 receiving yards. The defense gave up 289 passing yards and 84 yards on the ground. They had 2 sacks and recovered a fumble.

New Orleans remained in 1st place in the NFC South with a 31-19 victory over the Jets on Sunday. QB Drew Brees was 26-36 for 281 yards and 2 TDs. He threw an interception but wasn’t sacked. WR Michael Thomas caught 9 passes for 93 yards and a TD. RB Mark Ingram gained 74 yards on 12 carries and scored twice. WR Brandon Coleman lost 2 fumbles. The defense allowed 170 passing yards and 124 rushing yards. They had 2 picks and 1 sack while SS Kenny Vaccaro led the defense with 10 tackles.

Last Matchup – 2017, Week 14, Falcons 20-17

Injury Report

Falcons: Left guard Andy Levitre is a GTD.

Saints: They’re very thin at TE after losing Fleener and Hoomanawanui.

Public Money

The public is betting the Saints with 56% laying wagers on that side of the point spread line. The O/U betting is all on the OVER with 70% of the placed bets landing on that side of the total line.

Falcons at Saints Week 16 Prediction ATS

I like the Falcons here. They’re healthy for the most part and have been playing well, They’ve lost just two games of their last seven and both came against superior defensive clubs in Carolina and Minnesota. The Saints are playing better on that side of the ball, but can’t be considered in the same league as those two teams. Atlanta won the earlier match-up and the last three and should be at the least able to keep this game close enough to get the point spread cover.

Free Pick: Take the Atlanta Falcons +5.5 (RC)
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