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Western Michigan Broncos at Eastern Michigan Eagles Week 8 Pick

By Keith F
Date: 19/10/2019 7:00 pm
Location: Rynearson Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Eastern Michigan +9.5
Total: OFF

The Eastern Michigan Eagles (3-3) will host the Western Michigan Broncos (4-3) for the renewal of a bitter Mid-American Conference rivalry on Saturday, October 19th, 2019. Kick-off is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET and broadcast on ESPN+. Western Michigan has now won the last five meetings between these two cross-state rivals. Most recently, WMU edged out EMU in a 27-24 thriller when the Broncos hosted the Eagles in Kalamazoo in 2018. The Eagles were able to green up closing as a 4.5-point underdog.

Last week, we finished 2-1 in our slate of plays. We were unable to produce a win with our UConn +34.5 pick when the Green Wave rolled the Huskies 49-7. However, we followed this up with a win on our Ball State -2 play fading these Eastern Michigan Eagles and also got to the window when we’re on-board with Bowling Green at +26.5 against Toledo. In fact, the Falcons upset the Rockets outright to add an exclamation point to their cover.

Western Michigan Broncos at Eastern Michigan Eagles Key Injury Concerns

In the build-up to this rivalry affair, Western Michigan has no emergent injuries to report to key personnel, and Eastern Michigan have no injuries to declare.

Western Michigan Broncos at Eastern Michigan Eagles Overview

Western Michigan Broncos

The Broncos laid waste to the Miami Ohio Redhawks in their last stint at home last Saturday. Closing as a 12.5-point favorite, the Broncos would gallop onto a 38-16 victory over their counterparts. The Broncos have covered in their previous four games where they have been the chalk.

Eastern Michigan Eagles

The Eagles step into this game on a two-game losing streak straight-up and a three-game skid against the spread. Most recently, the Eagles were in action last week in Ypsilanti against the Ball State Cardinals, where they fell 29-24 despite closing as a two-point favorite.

Reasons To Avoid Western Michigan Broncos

Western Michigan’s dominance in this rivalry will undoubtedly make them prone to be overpriced in this market. When you add in the fact that WMU won and covered as a double-digit favorite while the Eagles lost outright last week against Ball State despite closing as a two-point favorite, this likelihood heightens. When you also add in the fact that Broncos step into a favorable spot in this series as the Road Team has covered in the last four matches, this will further inflate the number next to Western Michigan. However, the previous two games between both sides were settled by a mere field goal. As a result of this narrative, laying close to double-digit points is undoubtedly a risky move. Regardless of how well WMU has fared in this series as of recent or how well the Road Team has done in terms of producing covers.

Reasons To Back Eastern Michigan Eagles

Why did Eastern Michigan lose last week to the Ball State Cardinals? Because I am willing to wager that they were looking forward to this very game. There is little question that the Eagles dance with the Broncos was circled on the EMU calendar. The Eagles are sick and tired of being bullied by their counterparts, and Western Michigan, in many facets, has held Eastern Michigan back from taking their program to the next level. Given the optimism that surrounded the Eagles in the pre-season, this contest will be a landmark fixture for Eastern Michigan. EMU will be highly-motivated heading into this affair, and they won’t be thinking about covering either. This team will throw the entire toolbox at the Broncos, and that makes them a value play here with enhanced points.

Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan Prediction 10/19/19

I would not be shocked by any means if the Eagles went onto win this game outright. If some were bold enough to take EMU on the Money Line on Saturday, I would not dissuade that venture. Nevertheless, the fact remains that since the upset potential in the game is quite significant, the amount of points offered makes the Eagles a true value wager, and that is how I am going to play this one. Regardless of who wins this game, it will not be settled by a more than a touchdown in either direction.

Free Pick: Take Eastern Michigan +9.5
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