UNLV Rebels at Nevada Wolf Pack Point Spread Pick – Odds – Free NCAAF Prediction

By Keith F

Date: 25/11/2017 3:00 pm

Location: MacKay Stadium

TV: SPORTSNET

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Nevada -3

Total: 68

It is the largest and most expensive trophy in all of college football, the Fremont Cannon. The Battle for the Fremont Cannon features two Mountain West teams that simply love to hate one another. This rivalry is nothing short of a long history of acrimony and animosity. This year the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-9) will host the Nevada-Las Vegas Rebels (5-6) at MacKay Stadium in Reno, Nevada for the next chapter of this storied feud. The contest will commence at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, November 25th, 2017. The fixture can be viewed locally on AT&T SPORTSNET. The Wolf Pack own the most recent win in this rivalry in 2016 when they routed UNLV in Las Vegas by a score of 45-10. Overall, the rivalry has been split down Broadway in the last four outings as each team has won twice.

Nevada-Las Vegas Rebels at Nevada Wolf Pack Overview

The two teams step into this affair on differing narratives. For UNLV, the Rebels defeated the New Mexico Lobos on the road by a margin of 38-35, covering a miniscule 2.5-point line. Nevada was decimated at San Diego State when the Aztecs curtailed the Wolves by a score of 42-23. San Diego State was at one point garnered as a favorite to represent the Group of Five in a New Year’s Six Bowl before being upset by both Boise State and Fresno State earlier this season.

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Nevada Las Vegas at Nevada Betting Trends

Away Team is 4-0 SU in the last four Battle for Fremont Cannon.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the previous five meetings.
UNLV is 7-4 ATS this season.
Nevada is 5-6 ATS this season.

Public Money Consensus

In the early stages, we have seen the consensus smother the Rebels. 96% of the cash and 84% of the tickets are on UNLV. As a result, we have seen line movements diminish by 1.5 points. In Over/Under markets, as the number has remained idle. In its current state, the Over is also accompanied by a price tag of +107.

Nevada-Las Vegas Rebels at Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction

When we see a team with as poor of record as Nevada’s favored by significant margins at the open, we have to take a closer look. The Wolf Pack as a whole have been undervalued this year, displayed vividly in their far better against the spread record. Given how the public has reacted to the opening number, it seems that an overreaction is materializing before our very eyes to create a prime fade opportunity. After all, UNLV is a team that cannot be trusted. The Rebels own an outright win against Fresno State as a three-touchdown plus dog on the road this year but they were defeated at home by the Howard Bison in what was classed as the greatest against-the-spread upset in college football history. A team with such a Helter Skelter portfolio of results is a risky play and thus the number presented is no error. Swallow the points.

Free Pick: Take Nevada -3