Troy State Trojans at Louisiana State Tigers Point Spread Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Keith F

Date: 30/09/2017 7:00 pm

Location: Tiger Stadium

TV: SEC

Betting Odds

Point Spread: LSU -21

Total: 49

The Louisiana State Tigers (3-1) will take on the hosting duties as the Troy State Trojans (3-1) come to Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, Louisiana also known as Death Valley. The Tigers have won the two most recent meetings between both sides. However, Troy and LSU have not met since 2008. The match will be televised on the SEC Network with a kick-off time of 7:00 PM ET.

Troy State Trojans at Louisiana State Tigers Overview

Troy State comes in off a hard-fought win against the Akron Zips, last week. The Trojans would close as a 17-point home choice but get by Akron by a margin of 22-17. Previous to this, Troy snuck by New Mexico State as a 9.5-point road favorite when they won 27-24. Troy State was a 10-win program in 2016 and is looking to vie for the Sun Belt Conference title in 2017 with one of the conferences’ best offenses.

After getting thumped 37-7 in Starkville, LSU responded with a nine-point win against the Orange of Syracuse last Saturday. The Tigers offense led the way as they would score 35 points by virtue of their dynamic rushing attack. The unit would be the men of the match, as they would score three rushing touchdowns and go for 151 yards on the ground.

Troy at Louisiana State Betting Trends

Troy State is 4-1 SU in their previous five outings.
Louisiana State is 0-2-1 ATS in their last three contests.
Louisiana State is 5-1 SU in their previous six games.
Troy State has failed to cover in their last six matches

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Public Money Consensus

So far, we have seen the market move by just half of a point in favor of the Tigers. Currently, 83% of the money is on LSU while the consensus as a whole is divided down the middle at 50% in forums. 75% of the tickets are also with the Bayou Bengals. In Over/Under markets, the price has risen by 2.5 points highlighting that steam has been coming in on the Over.

Troy State Trojans at Louisiana State Tigers Week 5 ATS Prediction

The popular presumption here is that LSU is unbeatable under the lights in Death Valley at night. After all, this is a place that once generated seismic energy due to the loudness of the crowd. However, the conversation here is not whether the Tigers will win but whether the number presented here is overzealous. Chances are, it is. LSU at home is a spot that inflicts many premiums upon takers. Nevertheless, Mississippi State exposed LSU’s defense and Troy State has a format to adhere to if they are looking to find ways to score. Syracuse was able to generate 26 points in LSU’s follow-up to that grisly loss in Starkville. As a result, the Tigers failed to cover a similar line to the one offered this week. Given the fact, Troy’s performances have been less than academic they are due for an outing that is above market analysis. With the number offered on the table, situationally this seems to be that moment.

Free Pick: Take Troy +21