San Diego State Aztecs at Fresno State Bulldogs Pick – Odds and Against The Spread Predictions

It is known simply as The Battle of the Old Oil Can. On Saturday, November 17th, 2018, another chapter of the San Diego State-Fresno State football rivalry will be written when the Bulldogs (8-2) host the Aztecs (7-3) in The Valley. The kick-off time is set for 10:30 PM ET and this one will be televised on the CBS Sports Network. This rivalry series has been just that. In the last four meetings, the outcomes have been well-balanced with both teams winning twice. Last year, Fresno State opened a can on San Diego State on its turf when they smashed the Aztecs 27-3, covering as a 6.5-point underdog. Overall, Fresno State is 6-1 ATS in the last seven fixtures between both sides.

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Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs Overview

Fresno State Bulldogs

The Bulldogs come into this affair on the heels of a let-down. Last week, the then-ranked Bulldogs were an unprecedented favorite at Boise State where they would lose the Milk Can to their rivals the Broncos falling by a score of 24-17.

San Diego State Aztecs

For Las Aztecas, they come into this contest on a grislier note. Last week as a 24-point favorite at home, San Diego State was shocked by the visiting UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (a team Fresno State blew out 48-3) who went on to stage a 27-24 upset. This club is the same UNLV team that got its doors blown off by a then-winless San Jose State just a few weeks back and undoubtedly this result is influencing this market.

Reasons To Avoid Fresno State

A great handicapping strategy is fading overreactions. Undoubtedly, this point spread and the consequent 63% of the betting public spotting the lumber here is a by-product of such a phenomenon. The fact also remains that San Diego State is a run-specialist. They are good at running the ball and keeping opponents’ offenses off the field (average 166.1 yards per game) while allowing a fifth-ranked 94.7-yards per game. The Aztecs can very quickly make Fresno State one-dimensional, and that is not a pleasant prospect with two-plus scores to cover.

Reasons To Back San Diego State

Rivalry games also produce the unexpected. Also, you can rest assured that last year’s upset in San Diego is still fresh in the Aztec’s minds and will serve as a motivating factor in this contest. We urge takers not to put too much merit into last week’s debacle at San Diego State could have very well been likely looking past UNLV to this very game, as they perhaps had been anticipating Fresno State to come into this installment as a ranked outfit. A much different SDSU team will take the field this time around.